Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model consensus point to an overnight low near 16°C in Paris on August 6 amid a cooler northerly flow replacing recent heat. Clear skies will allow efficient nocturnal radiative cooling, while modest wind and low dew points limit the extent of the drop. Ensemble spreads between 15°C and 17°C arise mainly from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the frontal passage, keeping the 15°C and 16°C outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing. Updated runs expected overnight and on the morning of the 5th will refine the final minimum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Parigi il 6 agosto?
15°C 38%
16°C 36%
17°C 11%
14°C 10%
12°C o inferiore
9%
13°C
9%
14°C
10%
15°C
38%
16°C
36%
17°C
11%
18°C
9%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C o superiore
2%
15°C 38%
16°C 36%
17°C 11%
14°C 10%
12°C o inferiore
9%
13°C
9%
14°C
10%
15°C
38%
16°C
36%
17°C
11%
18°C
9%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C o superiore
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model consensus point to an overnight low near 16°C in Paris on August 6 amid a cooler northerly flow replacing recent heat. Clear skies will allow efficient nocturnal radiative cooling, while modest wind and low dew points limit the extent of the drop. Ensemble spreads between 15°C and 17°C arise mainly from small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the frontal passage, keeping the 15°C and 16°C outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing. Updated runs expected overnight and on the morning of the 5th will refine the final minimum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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