Recent Met Office guidance for London on August 6 points to a daytime maximum near 23°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, following a cooling trend after early-August warmth. Ensemble model spreads from the Met Office and ECMWF show most runs clustered between 22–24°C, with modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover, potential weak frontal passage, and urban heat-island effects at official stations such as Heathrow. This narrow range underpins the near-even market shares for 22°C and 23°C, while lower probabilities for 24°C+ reflect limited potential for stronger insolation or southerly flow. Historical early-August averages hover around 22–23°C, reinforcing the current forecast consensus ahead of final observational data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Londra il 6 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Londra il 6 agosto?
22°C 31%
23°C 25%
25°C 19%
24°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 ago 2026
19°C or below
2%
20°C
8%
21°C
12%
22°C
31%
23°C
25%
24°C
13%
25°C
11%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
22°C 31%
23°C 25%
25°C 19%
24°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 ago 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C
$137 Vol.
12%
22°C
$47 Vol.
31%
23°C
$61 Vol.
25%
24°C
$30 Vol.
13%
25°C
$33 Vol.
11%
26°C
$32 Vol.
7%
27°C
$10 Vol.
2%
28°C
$10 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance for London on August 6 points to a daytime maximum near 23°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, following a cooling trend after early-August warmth. Ensemble model spreads from the Met Office and ECMWF show most runs clustered between 22–24°C, with modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover, potential weak frontal passage, and urban heat-island effects at official stations such as Heathrow. This narrow range underpins the near-even market shares for 22°C and 23°C, while lower probabilities for 24°C+ reflect limited potential for stronger insolation or southerly flow. Historical early-August averages hover around 22–23°C, reinforcing the current forecast consensus ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$370Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance for London on August 6 points to a daytime maximum near 23°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, following a cooling trend after early-August warmth. Ensemble model spreads from the Met Office and ECMWF show most runs clustered between 22–24°C, with modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover, potential weak frontal passage, and urban heat-island effects at official stations such as Heathrow. This narrow range underpins the near-even market shares for 22°C and 23°C, while lower probabilities for 24°C+ reflect limited potential for stronger insolation or southerly flow. Historical early-August averages hover around 22–23°C, reinforcing the current forecast consensus ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$370Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance for London on August 6 points to a daytime maximum near 23°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, following a cooling trend after early-August warmth. Ensemble model spreads from the Met Office and ECMWF show most runs clustered between 22–24°C, with modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover, potential weak frontal passage, and urban heat-island effects at official stations such as Heathrow. This narrow range underpins the near-even market shares for 22°C and 23°C, while lower probabilities for 24°C+ reflect limited potential for stronger insolation or southerly flow. Historical early-August averages hover around 22–23°C, reinforcing the current forecast consensus ahead of final observational data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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