Recent forecasts from agencies including the Italian Meteorological Service and European models indicate a high-pressure ridge over northern Italy will bring mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds to Milan on August 6, supporting maximum temperatures near 36–38 °C. This aligns with the market’s concentration around 35–37 °C, reflecting typical late-summer Po Valley conditions where urban heat retention and limited cloud cover can push daily highs 3–5 °C above the long-term August average of ~29 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with any slight timing shift in the ridge or increased boundary-layer moisture potentially trimming the peak by 1 °C or allowing a brief spike toward 38 °C. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.