Latest short-range ensemble guidance and regional models indicate a stable subtropical high over the eastern Mediterranean, with light winds, clear skies, and typical sea-breeze moderation positioning Tel Aviv’s August 4 maximum near 32–33 °C. This aligns with August climatology for the coastal plain (31–32 °C baseline) plus modest positive anomalies from reduced marine influence and elevated boundary-layer heat. Current conditions on August 2 show similar patterns without major synoptic shifts, keeping 33 °C as the market favorite (52 %) ahead of 32 °C (32 %). Upcoming model runs and official updates from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service will refine any late intensification or cooling before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 4 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 4 agosto?
33°C 53%
32°C 32%
34°C 13%
31°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ago 2026
30°C or below
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
32%
33°C
53%
34°C
13%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
3%
38°C
<1%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 53%
32°C 32%
34°C 13%
31°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ago 2026
30°C or below
$20 Vol.
3%
31°C
$82 Vol.
5%
32°C
$298 Vol.
32%
33°C
$308 Vol.
53%
34°C
$191 Vol.
13%
35°C
$99 Vol.
3%
36°C
$103 Vol.
2%
37°C
$20 Vol.
3%
38°C
$124 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$138 Vol.
1%
40°C or higher
$433 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range ensemble guidance and regional models indicate a stable subtropical high over the eastern Mediterranean, with light winds, clear skies, and typical sea-breeze moderation positioning Tel Aviv’s August 4 maximum near 32–33 °C. This aligns with August climatology for the coastal plain (31–32 °C baseline) plus modest positive anomalies from reduced marine influence and elevated boundary-layer heat. Current conditions on August 2 show similar patterns without major synoptic shifts, keeping 33 °C as the market favorite (52 %) ahead of 32 °C (32 %). Upcoming model runs and official updates from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service will refine any late intensification or cooling before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$1,815Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range ensemble guidance and regional models indicate a stable subtropical high over the eastern Mediterranean, with light winds, clear skies, and typical sea-breeze moderation positioning Tel Aviv’s August 4 maximum near 32–33 °C. This aligns with August climatology for the coastal plain (31–32 °C baseline) plus modest positive anomalies from reduced marine influence and elevated boundary-layer heat. Current conditions on August 2 show similar patterns without major synoptic shifts, keeping 33 °C as the market favorite (52 %) ahead of 32 °C (32 %). Upcoming model runs and official updates from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service will refine any late intensification or cooling before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,815Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range ensemble guidance and regional models indicate a stable subtropical high over the eastern Mediterranean, with light winds, clear skies, and typical sea-breeze moderation positioning Tel Aviv’s August 4 maximum near 32–33 °C. This aligns with August climatology for the coastal plain (31–32 °C baseline) plus modest positive anomalies from reduced marine influence and elevated boundary-layer heat. Current conditions on August 2 show similar patterns without major synoptic shifts, keeping 33 °C as the market favorite (52 %) ahead of 32 °C (32 %). Upcoming model runs and official updates from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service will refine any late intensification or cooling before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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