Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and monsoon-driven moisture will moderate peak temperatures in Guangzhou tomorrow, positioning 30°C as the leading market outcome at 35.5% implied probability. Subtropical summer patterns typically yield daily highs near the 32°C seasonal average, yet enhanced rainfall and humidity from the East Asian monsoon favor the clustered 29–31°C range, which together exceeds 80% trader consensus. Official guidance shows no heatwave signals or clear-sky intensification, keeping probabilities for 32°C or above below 13% while historical analogs confirm similar early-August conditions rarely exceed these thresholds. Updated model runs through the next 24 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 2 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 2 agosto?
30°C 36%
31°C 26%
29°C 22%
32°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 ago 2026
25°C o inferiore
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
9%
29°C
22%
30°C
36%
31°C
26%
32°C
11%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C o superiore
<1%
30°C 36%
31°C 26%
29°C 22%
32°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 ago 2026
25°C o inferiore
$135 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$112 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$223 Vol.
2%
28°C
$312 Vol.
9%
29°C
$370 Vol.
22%
30°C
$315 Vol.
36%
31°C
$265 Vol.
26%
32°C
$871 Vol.
11%
33°C
$1,147 Vol.
2%
34°C
$163 Vol.
1%
35°C o superiore
$437 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and monsoon-driven moisture will moderate peak temperatures in Guangzhou tomorrow, positioning 30°C as the leading market outcome at 35.5% implied probability. Subtropical summer patterns typically yield daily highs near the 32°C seasonal average, yet enhanced rainfall and humidity from the East Asian monsoon favor the clustered 29–31°C range, which together exceeds 80% trader consensus. Official guidance shows no heatwave signals or clear-sky intensification, keeping probabilities for 32°C or above below 13% while historical analogs confirm similar early-August conditions rarely exceed these thresholds. Updated model runs through the next 24 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$4,350Data di fine
2 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and monsoon-driven moisture will moderate peak temperatures in Guangzhou tomorrow, positioning 30°C as the leading market outcome at 35.5% implied probability. Subtropical summer patterns typically yield daily highs near the 32°C seasonal average, yet enhanced rainfall and humidity from the East Asian monsoon favor the clustered 29–31°C range, which together exceeds 80% trader consensus. Official guidance shows no heatwave signals or clear-sky intensification, keeping probabilities for 32°C or above below 13% while historical analogs confirm similar early-August conditions rarely exceed these thresholds. Updated model runs through the next 24 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,350Data di fine
2 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and monsoon-driven moisture will moderate peak temperatures in Guangzhou tomorrow, positioning 30°C as the leading market outcome at 35.5% implied probability. Subtropical summer patterns typically yield daily highs near the 32°C seasonal average, yet enhanced rainfall and humidity from the East Asian monsoon favor the clustered 29–31°C range, which together exceeds 80% trader consensus. Official guidance shows no heatwave signals or clear-sky intensification, keeping probabilities for 32°C or above below 13% while historical analogs confirm similar early-August conditions rarely exceed these thresholds. Updated model runs through the next 24 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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