Current forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international sources project overnight lows near 27°C for Incheon on August 4 amid persistent summer heatwave conditions across the Korean peninsula. High daytime temperatures exceeding 35–38°C, combined with elevated humidity levels typical of the East Asian monsoon season, limit nocturnal radiative cooling and sustain elevated minimums. Historical August climatology for the region shows average lows of 23–25°C, but current atmospheric patterns favor warmer baselines. Market-implied probabilities cluster around 26–28°C because ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability in the near term, with any shifts dependent on updated model runs or unexpected frontal passages before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Seoul (Incheon) il 4 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Seoul (Incheon) il 4 agosto?
27°C 79%
28°C 26%
26°C 20%
25°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ago 2026
22°C o meno
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
27%
27°C
57%
28°C
26%
29°C
8%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 79%
28°C 26%
26°C 20%
25°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ago 2026
22°C o meno
$45 Vol.
1%
23°C
$66 Vol.
1%
24°C
$31 Vol.
2%
25°C
$28 Vol.
9%
26°C
$23 Vol.
27%
27°C
$33 Vol.
57%
28°C
$3 Vol.
26%
29°C
$38 Vol.
8%
30°C
$3 Vol.
1%
31°C
$3 Vol.
1%
32°C o superiore
$13 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international sources project overnight lows near 27°C for Incheon on August 4 amid persistent summer heatwave conditions across the Korean peninsula. High daytime temperatures exceeding 35–38°C, combined with elevated humidity levels typical of the East Asian monsoon season, limit nocturnal radiative cooling and sustain elevated minimums. Historical August climatology for the region shows average lows of 23–25°C, but current atmospheric patterns favor warmer baselines. Market-implied probabilities cluster around 26–28°C because ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability in the near term, with any shifts dependent on updated model runs or unexpected frontal passages before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$284Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international sources project overnight lows near 27°C for Incheon on August 4 amid persistent summer heatwave conditions across the Korean peninsula. High daytime temperatures exceeding 35–38°C, combined with elevated humidity levels typical of the East Asian monsoon season, limit nocturnal radiative cooling and sustain elevated minimums. Historical August climatology for the region shows average lows of 23–25°C, but current atmospheric patterns favor warmer baselines. Market-implied probabilities cluster around 26–28°C because ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability in the near term, with any shifts dependent on updated model runs or unexpected frontal passages before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$284Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international sources project overnight lows near 27°C for Incheon on August 4 amid persistent summer heatwave conditions across the Korean peninsula. High daytime temperatures exceeding 35–38°C, combined with elevated humidity levels typical of the East Asian monsoon season, limit nocturnal radiative cooling and sustain elevated minimums. Historical August climatology for the region shows average lows of 23–25°C, but current atmospheric patterns favor warmer baselines. Market-implied probabilities cluster around 26–28°C because ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability in the near term, with any shifts dependent on updated model runs or unexpected frontal passages before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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