Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and Brazilian meteorological sources indicate an approaching cold front will increase cloud cover and limit daytime heating over São Paulo on August 31, moderating temperatures after a period of anomalous warmth driven by a dry, stable air mass. Official model runs project afternoon highs most likely in the 28–30°C range, consistent with the market’s strong weighting toward 29°C or below. This setup aligns with typical late-August transitions in the region, where frontal passages often cap maximum temperatures below recent peaks near 32°C while humidity remains low until precipitation arrives the following day. Traders appear to discount outlier warmer scenarios given the tightening forecast consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di San Paolo il 31 agosto?
29°C o inferiore 60%
30°C 16%
31°C 13%
32°C 9%
$18,551 Vol.
$18,551 Vol.
29°C o inferiore
60%
30°C
16%
31°C
13%
32°C
9%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C o superiore
<1%
29°C o inferiore 60%
30°C 16%
31°C 13%
32°C 9%
$18,551 Vol.
$18,551 Vol.
29°C o inferiore
60%
30°C
16%
31°C
13%
32°C
9%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and Brazilian meteorological sources indicate an approaching cold front will increase cloud cover and limit daytime heating over São Paulo on August 31, moderating temperatures after a period of anomalous warmth driven by a dry, stable air mass. Official model runs project afternoon highs most likely in the 28–30°C range, consistent with the market’s strong weighting toward 29°C or below. This setup aligns with typical late-August transitions in the region, where frontal passages often cap maximum temperatures below recent peaks near 32°C while humidity remains low until precipitation arrives the following day. Traders appear to discount outlier warmer scenarios given the tightening forecast consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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