Current forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 38°C for Madrid on August 1, aligning with the market's dominant 62.5% implied probability for that threshold and 31.5% for 39°C. Madrid's continental climate features strong summer heating under persistent high pressure, with typical early-August averages near 31–32°C but frequent excursions above 35°C during heatwave patterns. Recent national data show Spain's 2026 summer running well above long-term baselines, supporting elevated but not extreme readings for the day. Official resolution relies on verified station measurements, with model consensus narrowing uncertainty around these central outcomes ahead of final observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Madrid il 1° agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Madrid il 1° agosto?
38°C 63%
39°C 32%
40°C 3.7%
37°C 3%
$30,433 Vol.
$30,433 Vol.
1 ago 2026
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
3%
38°C
63%
39°C
32%
40°C
4%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
38°C 63%
39°C 32%
40°C 3.7%
37°C 3%
$30,433 Vol.
$30,433 Vol.
1 ago 2026
34°C or below
$494 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,207 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$530 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$10,273 Vol.
3%
38°C
$6,004 Vol.
63%
39°C
$5,213 Vol.
32%
40°C
$3,893 Vol.
4%
41°C
$1,183 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$827 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$378 Vol.
<1%
44°C or higher
$430 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 38°C for Madrid on August 1, aligning with the market's dominant 62.5% implied probability for that threshold and 31.5% for 39°C. Madrid's continental climate features strong summer heating under persistent high pressure, with typical early-August averages near 31–32°C but frequent excursions above 35°C during heatwave patterns. Recent national data show Spain's 2026 summer running well above long-term baselines, supporting elevated but not extreme readings for the day. Official resolution relies on verified station measurements, with model consensus narrowing uncertainty around these central outcomes ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$30,433Data di fine
1 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 38°C for Madrid on August 1, aligning with the market's dominant 62.5% implied probability for that threshold and 31.5% for 39°C. Madrid's continental climate features strong summer heating under persistent high pressure, with typical early-August averages near 31–32°C but frequent excursions above 35°C during heatwave patterns. Recent national data show Spain's 2026 summer running well above long-term baselines, supporting elevated but not extreme readings for the day. Official resolution relies on verified station measurements, with model consensus narrowing uncertainty around these central outcomes ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,433Data di fine
1 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 38°C for Madrid on August 1, aligning with the market's dominant 62.5% implied probability for that threshold and 31.5% for 39°C. Madrid's continental climate features strong summer heating under persistent high pressure, with typical early-August averages near 31–32°C but frequent excursions above 35°C during heatwave patterns. Recent national data show Spain's 2026 summer running well above long-term baselines, supporting elevated but not extreme readings for the day. Official resolution relies on verified station measurements, with model consensus narrowing uncertainty around these central outcomes ahead of final observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti