Recent meteorological observations and short-range forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate peak temperatures in Istanbul on August 1 stabilizing near 26–27°C under typical late-summer high-pressure conditions. The city’s Mediterranean climate features moderating influences from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, which often cap daytime maxima around the long-term August average of 28–29°C while preventing stronger heat advection from continental interiors. No major heatwave or anomalous southerly flow has developed in the past 48 hours, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered on 27°C (69%) and 26°C (26%). Updated model runs show limited diurnal warming potential due to increased cloud cover and light northerly winds, reducing the likelihood of 28°C or higher outcomes. Traders are monitoring the next official observation bulletins for any late-day adjustments before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 1° agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 1° agosto?
27°C 71%
26°C 26%
28°C 4%
25°C 2%
NUOVO
$11,688 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,688 Vol.
1 ago 2026
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
26%
27°C
71%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 71%
26°C 26%
28°C 4%
25°C 2%
NUOVO
$11,688 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,688 Vol.
1 ago 2026
22°C o inferiore
$234 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$545 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$532 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$556 Vol.
2%
26°C
$1,747 Vol.
26%
27°C
$3,882 Vol.
71%
28°C
$2,313 Vol.
4%
29°C
$759 Vol.
2%
30°C
$365 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$518 Vol.
<1%
32°C o superiore
$238 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and short-range forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate peak temperatures in Istanbul on August 1 stabilizing near 26–27°C under typical late-summer high-pressure conditions. The city’s Mediterranean climate features moderating influences from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, which often cap daytime maxima around the long-term August average of 28–29°C while preventing stronger heat advection from continental interiors. No major heatwave or anomalous southerly flow has developed in the past 48 hours, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered on 27°C (69%) and 26°C (26%). Updated model runs show limited diurnal warming potential due to increased cloud cover and light northerly winds, reducing the likelihood of 28°C or higher outcomes. Traders are monitoring the next official observation bulletins for any late-day adjustments before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$11,688Data di fine
1 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and short-range forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate peak temperatures in Istanbul on August 1 stabilizing near 26–27°C under typical late-summer high-pressure conditions. The city’s Mediterranean climate features moderating influences from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, which often cap daytime maxima around the long-term August average of 28–29°C while preventing stronger heat advection from continental interiors. No major heatwave or anomalous southerly flow has developed in the past 48 hours, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered on 27°C (69%) and 26°C (26%). Updated model runs show limited diurnal warming potential due to increased cloud cover and light northerly winds, reducing the likelihood of 28°C or higher outcomes. Traders are monitoring the next official observation bulletins for any late-day adjustments before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,688Data di fine
1 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological observations and short-range forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate peak temperatures in Istanbul on August 1 stabilizing near 26–27°C under typical late-summer high-pressure conditions. The city’s Mediterranean climate features moderating influences from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, which often cap daytime maxima around the long-term August average of 28–29°C while preventing stronger heat advection from continental interiors. No major heatwave or anomalous southerly flow has developed in the past 48 hours, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered on 27°C (69%) and 26°C (26%). Updated model runs show limited diurnal warming potential due to increased cloud cover and light northerly winds, reducing the likelihood of 28°C or higher outcomes. Traders are monitoring the next official observation bulletins for any late-day adjustments before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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