Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on a maximum of 18–19°C for Cape Town on August 24 under clear to mostly sunny skies, driven by a stable high-pressure system and moderate southerly winds that limit warm-air advection during Southern Hemisphere winter. These conditions align with typical mid-August climatology, where average highs hover near 17–18°C, though slight model spread around daytime heating and wind strength creates the market’s emphasis on the 18–19°C outcomes. Trader positioning reflects this consensus while acknowledging residual uncertainty in short-range guidance, with lower-probability tails for warmer or cooler extremes tied to any unexpected shifts in the pressure pattern or cloud cover before the daily maximum is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Capo il 24 agosto?
19°C 47%
18°C 26%
20°C 16%
17°C 7%
13°C o inferiore
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
7%
18°C
26%
19°C
47%
20°C
16%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C o superiore
1%
19°C 47%
18°C 26%
20°C 16%
17°C 7%
13°C o inferiore
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
7%
18°C
26%
19°C
47%
20°C
16%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models converge on a maximum of 18–19°C for Cape Town on August 24 under clear to mostly sunny skies, driven by a stable high-pressure system and moderate southerly winds that limit warm-air advection during Southern Hemisphere winter. These conditions align with typical mid-August climatology, where average highs hover near 17–18°C, though slight model spread around daytime heating and wind strength creates the market’s emphasis on the 18–19°C outcomes. Trader positioning reflects this consensus while acknowledging residual uncertainty in short-range guidance, with lower-probability tails for warmer or cooler extremes tied to any unexpected shifts in the pressure pattern or cloud cover before the daily maximum is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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