Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those referenced by WeatherBug and AccuWeather, indicate a peak daytime temperature in Buenos Aires on August 31 near 18–20°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. This aligns with late-winter climatology for the region, where typical maxima hover around 16–18°C absent strong advection or frontal passages. Stable high pressure and modest insolation are expected to support modest diurnal warming without significant cold-air intrusions or warm-air advection. Trader consensus, reflected in the 76% combined probability for 19–20°C outcomes, emphasizes this narrow range given model agreement and limited forecast uncertainty 24 hours ahead. Final high-resolution runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance could refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Buenos Aires il 31 agosto?
20°C 44%
19°C 33%
21°C 13%
18°C 7%
14°C o inferiore
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
7%
19°C
33%
20°C
44%
21°C
13%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C o superiore
1%
20°C 44%
19°C 33%
21°C 13%
18°C 7%
14°C o inferiore
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
7%
19°C
33%
20°C
44%
21°C
13%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those referenced by WeatherBug and AccuWeather, indicate a peak daytime temperature in Buenos Aires on August 31 near 18–20°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. This aligns with late-winter climatology for the region, where typical maxima hover around 16–18°C absent strong advection or frontal passages. Stable high pressure and modest insolation are expected to support modest diurnal warming without significant cold-air intrusions or warm-air advection. Trader consensus, reflected in the 76% combined probability for 19–20°C outcomes, emphasizes this narrow range given model agreement and limited forecast uncertainty 24 hours ahead. Final high-resolution runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance could refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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