Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport call for sunny conditions and a high near 99°F on August 30, 2026, with heat index values reaching 102°F under light south-southeast winds. This aligns with the market's strong 63% implied probability for 98-99°F and 31% for 100-101°F, reflecting above-average late-August heat driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and precipitation. Recent days featured similar or slightly higher readings amid ongoing summer warmth, with minimal model disagreement and no incoming frontal systems to alter the outcome before resolution. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric conditions against historical records exceeding 100°F on the date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Austin il 30 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Austin il 30 agosto?
98-99°F 65%
100-101°F 31%
96-97°F 7%
102-103°F <1%
$12,939 Vol.
$12,939 Vol.
30 ago 2026
89°F o meno
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
65%
100-101°F
31%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F o superiore
<1%
98-99°F 65%
100-101°F 31%
96-97°F 7%
102-103°F <1%
$12,939 Vol.
$12,939 Vol.
30 ago 2026
89°F o meno
$250 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$230 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$145 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$446 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$1,005 Vol.
7%
98-99°F
$7,444 Vol.
65%
100-101°F
$2,287 Vol.
31%
102-103°F
$563 Vol.
1%
104-105°F
$279 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$150 Vol.
<1%
108°F o superiore
$140 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport call for sunny conditions and a high near 99°F on August 30, 2026, with heat index values reaching 102°F under light south-southeast winds. This aligns with the market's strong 63% implied probability for 98-99°F and 31% for 100-101°F, reflecting above-average late-August heat driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and precipitation. Recent days featured similar or slightly higher readings amid ongoing summer warmth, with minimal model disagreement and no incoming frontal systems to alter the outcome before resolution. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric conditions against historical records exceeding 100°F on the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Volume
$12,939Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport call for sunny conditions and a high near 99°F on August 30, 2026, with heat index values reaching 102°F under light south-southeast winds. This aligns with the market's strong 63% implied probability for 98-99°F and 31% for 100-101°F, reflecting above-average late-August heat driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and precipitation. Recent days featured similar or slightly higher readings amid ongoing summer warmth, with minimal model disagreement and no incoming frontal systems to alter the outcome before resolution. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric conditions against historical records exceeding 100°F on the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,939Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport call for sunny conditions and a high near 99°F on August 30, 2026, with heat index values reaching 102°F under light south-southeast winds. This aligns with the market's strong 63% implied probability for 98-99°F and 31% for 100-101°F, reflecting above-average late-August heat driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and precipitation. Recent days featured similar or slightly higher readings amid ongoing summer warmth, with minimal model disagreement and no incoming frontal systems to alter the outcome before resolution. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric conditions against historical records exceeding 100°F on the date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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