Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models and meteorological sources indicate a high near 29–30°C for Ankara on September 1 under mostly clear skies, light westerly or northerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of early September. This aligns closely with the long-term climatological average high of approximately 29°C for the period, with low precipitation risk and modest daytime heating due to moderate humidity and solar angles. Trader emphasis on the 30°C outcome reflects this model consensus and the absence of significant warm or cool advection in the latest runs, while narrower probabilities for 29°C or 31°C capture small forecast spread and potential microscale variations in urban heat island effects. Updated guidance in the coming days will refine the exact maximum as the event nears.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 1° settembre?
30°C 51%
29°C 25%
31°C 22%
28°C 5%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29°C
25%
30°C
51%
31°C
22%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 51%
29°C 25%
31°C 22%
28°C 5%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29°C
25%
30°C
51%
31°C
22%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models and meteorological sources indicate a high near 29–30°C for Ankara on September 1 under mostly clear skies, light westerly or northerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of early September. This aligns closely with the long-term climatological average high of approximately 29°C for the period, with low precipitation risk and modest daytime heating due to moderate humidity and solar angles. Trader emphasis on the 30°C outcome reflects this model consensus and the absence of significant warm or cool advection in the latest runs, while narrower probabilities for 29°C or 31°C capture small forecast spread and potential microscale variations in urban heat island effects. Updated guidance in the coming days will refine the exact maximum as the event nears.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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