California's 35th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage rooted in voter registration patterns and consistent past election margins, positioning the party's nominee as the clear frontrunner for the 2026 House race. The seat's urban and suburban makeup, including strong support among key voting blocs, has produced reliable Democratic victories that shape trader assessments of low upset risk. An incumbent or establishment-backed candidate benefits from name recognition and fundraising edges typical in safe districts. While the implied probability exceeds 90 percent, late developments such as a major candidate scandal, unexpected health issue, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still narrow the gap before November.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera CA-35
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera CA-35
$36,199 Vol.
$36,199 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
94%
Partito Repubblicano
3%
$36,199 Vol.
$36,199 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$20,376 Vol.
94%
Partito Repubblicano
$15,823 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 35th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage rooted in voter registration patterns and consistent past election margins, positioning the party's nominee as the clear frontrunner for the 2026 House race. The seat's urban and suburban makeup, including strong support among key voting blocs, has produced reliable Democratic victories that shape trader assessments of low upset risk. An incumbent or establishment-backed candidate benefits from name recognition and fundraising edges typical in safe districts. While the implied probability exceeds 90 percent, late developments such as a major candidate scandal, unexpected health issue, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$36,199Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 35th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage rooted in voter registration patterns and consistent past election margins, positioning the party's nominee as the clear frontrunner for the 2026 House race. The seat's urban and suburban makeup, including strong support among key voting blocs, has produced reliable Democratic victories that shape trader assessments of low upset risk. An incumbent or establishment-backed candidate benefits from name recognition and fundraising edges typical in safe districts. While the implied probability exceeds 90 percent, late developments such as a major candidate scandal, unexpected health issue, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$36,199Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 35th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage rooted in voter registration patterns and consistent past election margins, positioning the party's nominee as the clear frontrunner for the 2026 House race. The seat's urban and suburban makeup, including strong support among key voting blocs, has produced reliable Democratic victories that shape trader assessments of low upset risk. An incumbent or establishment-backed candidate benefits from name recognition and fundraising edges typical in safe districts. While the implied probability exceeds 90 percent, late developments such as a major candidate scandal, unexpected health issue, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still narrow the gap before November.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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