Recent forecasts for Wuhan show overnight lows clustering near 24–25°C on August 31 amid increased cloud cover, light rain, and northerly flow linked to peripheral typhoon influences and seasonal monsoon patterns. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to clearer nights earlier in the month, when highs exceeded 35°C. Model spreads arise from differences in predicted rainfall timing, humidity profiles, and wind speeds, which determine how closely temperatures approach the dew point. The tightly bunched market odds around 22–25°C reflect this genuine forecast uncertainty, with official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources converging on a minimum in the mid-20s Celsius range ahead of tomorrow’s data releases.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 31?
28°C 38%
25°C 27%
23°C 27%
22°C 26%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
21°C or below
2%
22°C
26%
23°C
27%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
38%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
28°C 38%
25°C 27%
23°C 27%
22°C 26%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
21°C or below
$87 Vol.
2%
22°C
$51 Vol.
26%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$147 Vol.
38%
29°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$53 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan show overnight lows clustering near 24–25°C on August 31 amid increased cloud cover, light rain, and northerly flow linked to peripheral typhoon influences and seasonal monsoon patterns. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to clearer nights earlier in the month, when highs exceeded 35°C. Model spreads arise from differences in predicted rainfall timing, humidity profiles, and wind speeds, which determine how closely temperatures approach the dew point. The tightly bunched market odds around 22–25°C reflect this genuine forecast uncertainty, with official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources converging on a minimum in the mid-20s Celsius range ahead of tomorrow’s data releases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$338Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan show overnight lows clustering near 24–25°C on August 31 amid increased cloud cover, light rain, and northerly flow linked to peripheral typhoon influences and seasonal monsoon patterns. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to clearer nights earlier in the month, when highs exceeded 35°C. Model spreads arise from differences in predicted rainfall timing, humidity profiles, and wind speeds, which determine how closely temperatures approach the dew point. The tightly bunched market odds around 22–25°C reflect this genuine forecast uncertainty, with official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources converging on a minimum in the mid-20s Celsius range ahead of tomorrow’s data releases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$338Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Wuhan show overnight lows clustering near 24–25°C on August 31 amid increased cloud cover, light rain, and northerly flow linked to peripheral typhoon influences and seasonal monsoon patterns. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to clearer nights earlier in the month, when highs exceeded 35°C. Model spreads arise from differences in predicted rainfall timing, humidity profiles, and wind speeds, which determine how closely temperatures approach the dew point. The tightly bunched market odds around 22–25°C reflect this genuine forecast uncertainty, with official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources converging on a minimum in the mid-20s Celsius range ahead of tomorrow’s data releases.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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