**Recent northerly winds from typhoon peripheral flow and increased cloud cover have moderated overnight cooling in Wuhan, keeping the expected daily minimum tightly clustered around 25–26 °C.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently show a daytime high near 32 °C easing under mostly cloudy skies with light rain chances, followed by a nighttime low of 25–27 °C. Historical late-August climatology places the average low at 25–26 °C, and this year’s pattern aligns closely. The near-even 51 % / 50 % market split between 26 °C and 25 °C reflects residual model spread in minimum temperature tied to exact wind speeds, dew-point depression, and cloud thickness, which control long-wave radiative cooling rates. Lower probabilities on 24 °C or 27 °C indicate traders view those as outliers given current steering patterns and moisture levels. Updated model runs and official minimum-temperature observations later tonight will be the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 30?
25°C 50%
24°C 8%
23°C 2%
27°C <1%
$928 Vol.
$928 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
50%
26°C
-
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 50%
24°C 8%
23°C 2%
27°C <1%
$928 Vol.
$928 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
$285 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$86 Vol.
2%
24°C
$112 Vol.
8%
25°C
$36 Vol.
50%
26°C
$36 Vol.
-
27°C
$238 Vol.
1%
28°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$30 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent northerly winds from typhoon peripheral flow and increased cloud cover have moderated overnight cooling in Wuhan, keeping the expected daily minimum tightly clustered around 25–26 °C.**
Official and ensemble forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently show a daytime high near 32 °C easing under mostly cloudy skies with light rain chances, followed by a nighttime low of 25–27 °C. Historical late-August climatology places the average low at 25–26 °C, and this year’s pattern aligns closely.
The near-even 51 % / 50 % market split between 26 °C and 25 °C reflects residual model spread in minimum temperature tied to exact wind speeds, dew-point depression, and cloud thickness, which control long-wave radiative cooling rates. Lower probabilities on 24 °C or 27 °C indicate traders view those as outliers given current steering patterns and moisture levels.
Updated model runs and official minimum-temperature observations later tonight will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$928Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent northerly winds from typhoon peripheral flow and increased cloud cover have moderated overnight cooling in Wuhan, keeping the expected daily minimum tightly clustered around 25–26 °C.**
Official and ensemble forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently show a daytime high near 32 °C easing under mostly cloudy skies with light rain chances, followed by a nighttime low of 25–27 °C. Historical late-August climatology places the average low at 25–26 °C, and this year’s pattern aligns closely.
The near-even 51 % / 50 % market split between 26 °C and 25 °C reflects residual model spread in minimum temperature tied to exact wind speeds, dew-point depression, and cloud thickness, which control long-wave radiative cooling rates. Lower probabilities on 24 °C or 27 °C indicate traders view those as outliers given current steering patterns and moisture levels.
Updated model runs and official minimum-temperature observations later tonight will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$928Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent northerly winds from typhoon peripheral flow and increased cloud cover have moderated overnight cooling in Wuhan, keeping the expected daily minimum tightly clustered around 25–26 °C.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently show a daytime high near 32 °C easing under mostly cloudy skies with light rain chances, followed by a nighttime low of 25–27 °C. Historical late-August climatology places the average low at 25–26 °C, and this year’s pattern aligns closely. The near-even 51 % / 50 % market split between 26 °C and 25 °C reflects residual model spread in minimum temperature tied to exact wind speeds, dew-point depression, and cloud thickness, which control long-wave radiative cooling rates. Lower probabilities on 24 °C or 27 °C indicate traders view those as outliers given current steering patterns and moisture levels. Updated model runs and official minimum-temperature observations later tonight will be the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
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