Official observations from Toronto-area weather stations confirm the overnight minimum reached exactly 14°C on August 29, matching real-time surface data and numerical weather model guidance from agencies such as Environment Canada. This outcome reflects typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds, consistent with climatological averages near 16°C and recent model runs showing no significant cold-air advection. With the date concluded and measurements finalized, the 100% market-implied probability rests on verified instrumental records rather than forecasts. Only an improbable post-processing revision at the primary station or a shift to an alternate measurement site could alter the recorded low.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Toronto on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on August 29?
14°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$2,779 Vol.
$2,779 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$2,779 Vol.
$2,779 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
$170 Vol.
No
10°C
$151 Vol.
No
11°C
$110 Vol.
No
12°C
$144 Vol.
No
13°C
$121 Vol.
No
14°C
$547 Vol.
Yes
15°C
$67 Vol.
No
16°C
$101 Vol.
No
17°C
$199 Vol.
No
18°C
$88 Vol.
No
19°C or higher
$1,082 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Toronto-area weather stations confirm the overnight minimum reached exactly 14°C on August 29, matching real-time surface data and numerical weather model guidance from agencies such as Environment Canada. This outcome reflects typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds, consistent with climatological averages near 16°C and recent model runs showing no significant cold-air advection. With the date concluded and measurements finalized, the 100% market-implied probability rests on verified instrumental records rather than forecasts. Only an improbable post-processing revision at the primary station or a shift to an alternate measurement site could alter the recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$2,779Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Toronto-area weather stations confirm the overnight minimum reached exactly 14°C on August 29, matching real-time surface data and numerical weather model guidance from agencies such as Environment Canada. This outcome reflects typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds, consistent with climatological averages near 16°C and recent model runs showing no significant cold-air advection. With the date concluded and measurements finalized, the 100% market-implied probability rests on verified instrumental records rather than forecasts. Only an improbable post-processing revision at the primary station or a shift to an alternate measurement site could alter the recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,779Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Official observations from Toronto-area weather stations confirm the overnight minimum reached exactly 14°C on August 29, matching real-time surface data and numerical weather model guidance from agencies such as Environment Canada. This outcome reflects typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds, consistent with climatological averages near 16°C and recent model runs showing no significant cold-air advection. With the date concluded and measurements finalized, the 100% market-implied probability rests on verified instrumental records rather than forecasts. Only an improbable post-processing revision at the primary station or a shift to an alternate measurement site could alter the recorded low.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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