**Official forecasts from Environment Canada place Toronto’s high near 23°C today under mostly cloudy skies with showers, aligning closely with the market’s top outcomes at 22°C (46%) and 23°C (26.5%).** Persistent cloud cover and light precipitation have suppressed daytime heating, keeping temperatures from climbing toward the late-August climatological average of ~24.8°C. Southwesterly winds around 20 km/h and elevated humidity (humidex values near 28) further limit warming while steering in Atlantic moisture. Morning observations at Pearson Airport hovered near 19–20°C under overcast conditions, consistent with model runs showing only modest afternoon rises. Recent shifts from clearer, warmer weekend weather (highs near 25°C) to today’s unsettled pattern explain the market’s tight clustering around 22–23°C rather than higher values, which carry just 13–17% combined implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the authoritative government forecast and observed cloud trends most heavily, with little expectation of rapid clearing or stronger insolation before sunset.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Toronto on August 30?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 30?
22°C 45%
23°C 34%
21°C 12%
24°C 10%
$24,353 Vol.
$24,353 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
12%
22°C
45%
23°C
34%
24°C
10%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 45%
23°C 34%
21°C 12%
24°C 10%
$24,353 Vol.
$24,353 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
17°C or below
$210 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$210 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$484 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,431 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,371 Vol.
12%
22°C
$4,545 Vol.
45%
23°C
$3,808 Vol.
34%
24°C
$4,161 Vol.
10%
25°C
$3,273 Vol.
3%
26°C
$1,656 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$1,422 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Environment Canada place Toronto’s high near 23°C today under mostly cloudy skies with showers, aligning closely with the market’s top outcomes at 22°C (46%) and 23°C (26.5%).** Persistent cloud cover and light precipitation have suppressed daytime heating, keeping temperatures from climbing toward the late-August climatological average of ~24.8°C. Southwesterly winds around 20 km/h and elevated humidity (humidex values near 28) further limit warming while steering in Atlantic moisture.
Morning observations at Pearson Airport hovered near 19–20°C under overcast conditions, consistent with model runs showing only modest afternoon rises. Recent shifts from clearer, warmer weekend weather (highs near 25°C) to today’s unsettled pattern explain the market’s tight clustering around 22–23°C rather than higher values, which carry just 13–17% combined implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the authoritative government forecast and observed cloud trends most heavily, with little expectation of rapid clearing or stronger insolation before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
Volume
$24,353Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Environment Canada place Toronto’s high near 23°C today under mostly cloudy skies with showers, aligning closely with the market’s top outcomes at 22°C (46%) and 23°C (26.5%).** Persistent cloud cover and light precipitation have suppressed daytime heating, keeping temperatures from climbing toward the late-August climatological average of ~24.8°C. Southwesterly winds around 20 km/h and elevated humidity (humidex values near 28) further limit warming while steering in Atlantic moisture.
Morning observations at Pearson Airport hovered near 19–20°C under overcast conditions, consistent with model runs showing only modest afternoon rises. Recent shifts from clearer, warmer weekend weather (highs near 25°C) to today’s unsettled pattern explain the market’s tight clustering around 22–23°C rather than higher values, which carry just 13–17% combined implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the authoritative government forecast and observed cloud trends most heavily, with little expectation of rapid clearing or stronger insolation before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,353Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from Environment Canada place Toronto’s high near 23°C today under mostly cloudy skies with showers, aligning closely with the market’s top outcomes at 22°C (46%) and 23°C (26.5%).** Persistent cloud cover and light precipitation have suppressed daytime heating, keeping temperatures from climbing toward the late-August climatological average of ~24.8°C. Southwesterly winds around 20 km/h and elevated humidity (humidex values near 28) further limit warming while steering in Atlantic moisture. Morning observations at Pearson Airport hovered near 19–20°C under overcast conditions, consistent with model runs showing only modest afternoon rises. Recent shifts from clearer, warmer weekend weather (highs near 25°C) to today’s unsettled pattern explain the market’s tight clustering around 22–23°C rather than higher values, which carry just 13–17% combined implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the authoritative government forecast and observed cloud trends most heavily, with little expectation of rapid clearing or stronger insolation before sunset.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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