Recent forecasts from multiple models and local meteorological sources consistently project a minimum temperature of 25–26°C in Shanghai on September 1, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered to moderate rain, and a shift to easterly or northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating and supports overnight cooling. Late-August warmth (highs near 32–33°C) is giving way to this transitional pattern ahead of a stronger rain event on September 2, aligning with typical early-September climatology for the region. Trader consensus favoring 26°C as the low reflects close alignment with these near-term model runs, while lower probabilities for 25°C or 27°C account for minor uncertainties in exact timing of rain and wind shifts before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 1?
26°C 51%
27°C 28%
25°C 16%
23°C 12%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
12%
24°C
7%
25°C
18%
26°C
51%
27°C
28%
28°C
7%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 51%
27°C 28%
25°C 16%
23°C 12%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
12%
24°C
7%
25°C
18%
26°C
51%
27°C
28%
28°C
7%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models and local meteorological sources consistently project a minimum temperature of 25–26°C in Shanghai on September 1, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered to moderate rain, and a shift to easterly or northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating and supports overnight cooling. Late-August warmth (highs near 32–33°C) is giving way to this transitional pattern ahead of a stronger rain event on September 2, aligning with typical early-September climatology for the region. Trader consensus favoring 26°C as the low reflects close alignment with these near-term model runs, while lower probabilities for 25°C or 27°C account for minor uncertainties in exact timing of rain and wind shifts before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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