Recent forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, Luft Time, and Easeweather show Shanghai highs on September 1 clustering near 31–32°C amid increasing cloud cover, easterly winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that could moderate peak readings. Subtropical late-summer conditions, with high humidity and potential convective activity tied to seasonal monsoon remnants, favor values around 30°C as the most probable outcome, consistent with trader consensus at 51.5% implied probability. Cooler or warmer extremes remain low-probability given model agreement and the narrow 48-hour window before resolution. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official guidance from regional meteorological agencies will provide the next key data points.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 1?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 1?
30°C 52%
31°C 24%
29°C 17%
32°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
17%
30°C
52%
31°C
24%
32°C
5%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 52%
31°C 24%
29°C 17%
32°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
25°C or below
$974 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$445 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$490 Vol.
1%
28°C
$219 Vol.
3%
29°C
$933 Vol.
17%
30°C
$1,235 Vol.
52%
31°C
$953 Vol.
24%
32°C
$352 Vol.
5%
33°C
$110 Vol.
1%
34°C
$116 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$312 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, Luft Time, and Easeweather show Shanghai highs on September 1 clustering near 31–32°C amid increasing cloud cover, easterly winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that could moderate peak readings. Subtropical late-summer conditions, with high humidity and potential convective activity tied to seasonal monsoon remnants, favor values around 30°C as the most probable outcome, consistent with trader consensus at 51.5% implied probability. Cooler or warmer extremes remain low-probability given model agreement and the narrow 48-hour window before resolution. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official guidance from regional meteorological agencies will provide the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,138Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, Luft Time, and Easeweather show Shanghai highs on September 1 clustering near 31–32°C amid increasing cloud cover, easterly winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that could moderate peak readings. Subtropical late-summer conditions, with high humidity and potential convective activity tied to seasonal monsoon remnants, favor values around 30°C as the most probable outcome, consistent with trader consensus at 51.5% implied probability. Cooler or warmer extremes remain low-probability given model agreement and the narrow 48-hour window before resolution. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official guidance from regional meteorological agencies will provide the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,138Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, Luft Time, and Easeweather show Shanghai highs on September 1 clustering near 31–32°C amid increasing cloud cover, easterly winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that could moderate peak readings. Subtropical late-summer conditions, with high humidity and potential convective activity tied to seasonal monsoon remnants, favor values around 30°C as the most probable outcome, consistent with trader consensus at 51.5% implied probability. Cooler or warmer extremes remain low-probability given model agreement and the narrow 48-hour window before resolution. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official guidance from regional meteorological agencies will provide the next key data points.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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