**Trader sentiment for Sao Paulo’s lowest temperature on August 30, 2026, clusters tightly around 17–19 °C because official forecasts and model guidance diverge on the precise overnight minimum amid a warm, dry air mass.** Highs reached or exceeded 30–32 °C under mostly sunny conditions with low humidity (~30 % in the afternoon), driven by a persistent warm, dry air mass that has kept temperatures above seasonal norms. Nighttime cooling depends on factors including partial cloud cover, light variable winds (typically 2–5 m/s), and the timing of any increase in moisture or high clouds ahead of an approaching cold front. Forecasts from sources such as the Brazilian National Meteorological Institute (INMET), CGE, and international models show overnight lows ranging from roughly 17–21 °C, with several pointing to ~19–20 °C. This spread in expected radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies creates the near-even market-implied odds for the 17 °C or below, 18 °C, and 19 °C bins. Upcoming resolution will hinge on the official minimum recorded at the primary São Paulo station, with any late-day cloud increase or wind shift potentially limiting further cooling.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 30?
18°C 50%
19°C 50%
17°C or below 19%
21°C <1%
$1,756 Vol.
$1,756 Vol.
17°C or below
19%
18°C
50%
19°C
50%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
18°C 50%
19°C 50%
17°C or below 19%
21°C <1%
$1,756 Vol.
$1,756 Vol.
17°C or below
19%
18°C
50%
19°C
50%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Sao Paulo’s lowest temperature on August 30, 2026, clusters tightly around 17–19 °C because official forecasts and model guidance diverge on the precise overnight minimum amid a warm, dry air mass.** Highs reached or exceeded 30–32 °C under mostly sunny conditions with low humidity (~30 % in the afternoon), driven by a persistent warm, dry air mass that has kept temperatures above seasonal norms. Nighttime cooling depends on factors including partial cloud cover, light variable winds (typically 2–5 m/s), and the timing of any increase in moisture or high clouds ahead of an approaching cold front. Forecasts from sources such as the Brazilian National Meteorological Institute (INMET), CGE, and international models show overnight lows ranging from roughly 17–21 °C, with several pointing to ~19–20 °C. This spread in expected radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies creates the near-even market-implied odds for the 17 °C or below, 18 °C, and 19 °C bins. Upcoming resolution will hinge on the official minimum recorded at the primary São Paulo station, with any late-day cloud increase or wind shift potentially limiting further cooling.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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