Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and Brazilian meteorological sources indicate an approaching cold front will increase cloud cover and limit daytime heating over São Paulo on August 31, moderating temperatures after a period of anomalous warmth driven by a dry, stable air mass. Official model runs project afternoon highs most likely in the 28–30°C range, consistent with the market’s strong weighting toward 29°C or below. This setup aligns with typical late-August transitions in the region, where frontal passages often cap maximum temperatures below recent peaks near 32°C while humidity remains low until precipitation arrives the following day. Traders appear to discount outlier warmer scenarios given the tightening forecast consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 31?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 31?
29°C or below 60%
30°C 16%
31°C 13%
32°C 9%
BARU
$18,551 Vol.
BARU
$18,551 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
29°C or below
60%
30°C
16%
31°C
13%
32°C
9%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
29°C or below 60%
30°C 16%
31°C 13%
32°C 9%
BARU
$18,551 Vol.
BARU
$18,551 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
29°C or below
$6,921 Vol.
60%
30°C
$912 Vol.
16%
31°C
$952 Vol.
13%
32°C
$841 Vol.
9%
33°C
$788 Vol.
4%
34°C
$714 Vol.
2%
35°C
$1,012 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$3,134 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,824 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$1,248 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$206 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and Brazilian meteorological sources indicate an approaching cold front will increase cloud cover and limit daytime heating over São Paulo on August 31, moderating temperatures after a period of anomalous warmth driven by a dry, stable air mass. Official model runs project afternoon highs most likely in the 28–30°C range, consistent with the market’s strong weighting toward 29°C or below. This setup aligns with typical late-August transitions in the region, where frontal passages often cap maximum temperatures below recent peaks near 32°C while humidity remains low until precipitation arrives the following day. Traders appear to discount outlier warmer scenarios given the tightening forecast consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$18,551Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and Brazilian meteorological sources indicate an approaching cold front will increase cloud cover and limit daytime heating over São Paulo on August 31, moderating temperatures after a period of anomalous warmth driven by a dry, stable air mass. Official model runs project afternoon highs most likely in the 28–30°C range, consistent with the market’s strong weighting toward 29°C or below. This setup aligns with typical late-August transitions in the region, where frontal passages often cap maximum temperatures below recent peaks near 32°C while humidity remains low until precipitation arrives the following day. Traders appear to discount outlier warmer scenarios given the tightening forecast consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,551Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and Brazilian meteorological sources indicate an approaching cold front will increase cloud cover and limit daytime heating over São Paulo on August 31, moderating temperatures after a period of anomalous warmth driven by a dry, stable air mass. Official model runs project afternoon highs most likely in the 28–30°C range, consistent with the market’s strong weighting toward 29°C or below. This setup aligns with typical late-August transitions in the region, where frontal passages often cap maximum temperatures below recent peaks near 32°C while humidity remains low until precipitation arrives the following day. Traders appear to discount outlier warmer scenarios given the tightening forecast consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan