**Strong model consensus and recent observational trends point to an overnight minimum near 18°C in Milan on August 30 under clear skies and light winds associated with persistent high pressure.** Late-summer radiative cooling overnight, with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and minimal cloud cover, supports this range according to multiple forecast sources, aligning closely with climatological normals for the period. The 95.5% market-implied probability for exactly 18°C reflects traders' assessment of limited forecast uncertainty and stable synoptic conditions, with negligible precipitation or frontal activity expected to alter the diurnal temperature curve. A sudden increase in low-level moisture, stronger winds, or localized urban heat-island effects could push the minimum higher, while faster-than-expected cooling under perfectly clear conditions might test the lower bound, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before the daily minimum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Milan on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Milan on August 30?
18°C 95%
14°C or below 3%
16°C 2%
17°C 2%
$1,314 Vol.
$1,314 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
14°C or below
3%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
95%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 95%
14°C or below 3%
16°C 2%
17°C 2%
$1,314 Vol.
$1,314 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
14°C or below
$12 Vol.
3%
15°C
$39 Vol.
1%
16°C
$169 Vol.
2%
17°C
$137 Vol.
2%
18°C
$722 Vol.
95%
19°C
$98 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$52 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$30 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong model consensus and recent observational trends point to an overnight minimum near 18°C in Milan on August 30 under clear skies and light winds associated with persistent high pressure.** Late-summer radiative cooling overnight, with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and minimal cloud cover, supports this range according to multiple forecast sources, aligning closely with climatological normals for the period. The 95.5% market-implied probability for exactly 18°C reflects traders' assessment of limited forecast uncertainty and stable synoptic conditions, with negligible precipitation or frontal activity expected to alter the diurnal temperature curve. A sudden increase in low-level moisture, stronger winds, or localized urban heat-island effects could push the minimum higher, while faster-than-expected cooling under perfectly clear conditions might test the lower bound, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,314Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong model consensus and recent observational trends point to an overnight minimum near 18°C in Milan on August 30 under clear skies and light winds associated with persistent high pressure.** Late-summer radiative cooling overnight, with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and minimal cloud cover, supports this range according to multiple forecast sources, aligning closely with climatological normals for the period. The 95.5% market-implied probability for exactly 18°C reflects traders' assessment of limited forecast uncertainty and stable synoptic conditions, with negligible precipitation or frontal activity expected to alter the diurnal temperature curve. A sudden increase in low-level moisture, stronger winds, or localized urban heat-island effects could push the minimum higher, while faster-than-expected cooling under perfectly clear conditions might test the lower bound, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,314Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong model consensus and recent observational trends point to an overnight minimum near 18°C in Milan on August 30 under clear skies and light winds associated with persistent high pressure.** Late-summer radiative cooling overnight, with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and minimal cloud cover, supports this range according to multiple forecast sources, aligning closely with climatological normals for the period. The 95.5% market-implied probability for exactly 18°C reflects traders' assessment of limited forecast uncertainty and stable synoptic conditions, with negligible precipitation or frontal activity expected to alter the diurnal temperature curve. A sudden increase in low-level moisture, stronger winds, or localized urban heat-island effects could push the minimum higher, while faster-than-expected cooling under perfectly clear conditions might test the lower bound, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before the daily minimum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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