Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS indicates a peak near 31°C in Milan on August 31 under mostly sunny skies, light westerly winds, and low precipitation chances, supporting the market's leading 45% implied probability for that outcome. Afternoon urban heat island effects and precise timing of maximum solar heating introduce genuine uncertainty between 30°C and 32°C, reflected in the closely matched 35.5% odds for 30°C versus minimal support for 33°C or higher. Official monitoring from agencies like ilMeteo and international ensembles shows stable high-pressure conditions with minimal model spread, though small revisions in boundary-layer mixing or station-specific readings could shift the final recorded high.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Milan on August 31?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 31?
31°C 44%
30°C 35%
32°C 7%
29°C 6%
BARU
$16,073 Vol.
BARU
$16,073 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
35%
31°C
44%
32°C
7%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 44%
30°C 35%
32°C 7%
29°C 6%
BARU
$16,073 Vol.
BARU
$16,073 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
24°C or below
$1,569 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,207 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$689 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$286 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$351 Vol.
1%
29°C
$980 Vol.
6%
30°C
$2,279 Vol.
35%
31°C
$5,916 Vol.
44%
32°C
$2,230 Vol.
7%
33°C
$403 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$163 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS indicates a peak near 31°C in Milan on August 31 under mostly sunny skies, light westerly winds, and low precipitation chances, supporting the market's leading 45% implied probability for that outcome. Afternoon urban heat island effects and precise timing of maximum solar heating introduce genuine uncertainty between 30°C and 32°C, reflected in the closely matched 35.5% odds for 30°C versus minimal support for 33°C or higher. Official monitoring from agencies like ilMeteo and international ensembles shows stable high-pressure conditions with minimal model spread, though small revisions in boundary-layer mixing or station-specific readings could shift the final recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$16,073Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS indicates a peak near 31°C in Milan on August 31 under mostly sunny skies, light westerly winds, and low precipitation chances, supporting the market's leading 45% implied probability for that outcome. Afternoon urban heat island effects and precise timing of maximum solar heating introduce genuine uncertainty between 30°C and 32°C, reflected in the closely matched 35.5% odds for 30°C versus minimal support for 33°C or higher. Official monitoring from agencies like ilMeteo and international ensembles shows stable high-pressure conditions with minimal model spread, though small revisions in boundary-layer mixing or station-specific readings could shift the final recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,073Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS indicates a peak near 31°C in Milan on August 31 under mostly sunny skies, light westerly winds, and low precipitation chances, supporting the market's leading 45% implied probability for that outcome. Afternoon urban heat island effects and precise timing of maximum solar heating introduce genuine uncertainty between 30°C and 32°C, reflected in the closely matched 35.5% odds for 30°C versus minimal support for 33°C or higher. Official monitoring from agencies like ilMeteo and international ensembles shows stable high-pressure conditions with minimal model spread, though small revisions in boundary-layer mixing or station-specific readings could shift the final recorded high.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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