Persistent southwest monsoon rains and extensive cloud cover over Manila on August 30 are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures tightly clustered near the 24–25°C threshold. High humidity (88–96%), strong southwesterly winds mixing the boundary layer, and widespread overcast conditions from the monsoon and distant tropical depression “Pilandok” have produced overnight lows consistent with official PAGASA guidance of 24–27°C. Model consensus and recent station data show the daily minimum hovering between these two values depending on exact timing of any brief clear spells or rainfall intensity, explaining the near-even market split between 24°C and 25°C implied probabilities while rendering outcomes below 23°C or above 26°C highly unlikely.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Manila on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 30?
23°C 2%
22°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$1,459 Vol.
$1,459 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
52%
25°C
50%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
23°C 2%
22°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$1,459 Vol.
$1,459 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
$241 Vol.
1%
22°C
$57 Vol.
1%
23°C
$28 Vol.
2%
24°C
$11 Vol.
52%
25°C
$10 Vol.
50%
26°C
$309 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$285 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$82 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$310 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$60 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon rains and extensive cloud cover over Manila on August 30 are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures tightly clustered near the 24–25°C threshold. High humidity (88–96%), strong southwesterly winds mixing the boundary layer, and widespread overcast conditions from the monsoon and distant tropical depression “Pilandok” have produced overnight lows consistent with official PAGASA guidance of 24–27°C. Model consensus and recent station data show the daily minimum hovering between these two values depending on exact timing of any brief clear spells or rainfall intensity, explaining the near-even market split between 24°C and 25°C implied probabilities while rendering outcomes below 23°C or above 26°C highly unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$1,459Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon rains and extensive cloud cover over Manila on August 30 are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures tightly clustered near the 24–25°C threshold. High humidity (88–96%), strong southwesterly winds mixing the boundary layer, and widespread overcast conditions from the monsoon and distant tropical depression “Pilandok” have produced overnight lows consistent with official PAGASA guidance of 24–27°C. Model consensus and recent station data show the daily minimum hovering between these two values depending on exact timing of any brief clear spells or rainfall intensity, explaining the near-even market split between 24°C and 25°C implied probabilities while rendering outcomes below 23°C or above 26°C highly unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,459Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon rains and extensive cloud cover over Manila on August 30 are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures tightly clustered near the 24–25°C threshold. High humidity (88–96%), strong southwesterly winds mixing the boundary layer, and widespread overcast conditions from the monsoon and distant tropical depression “Pilandok” have produced overnight lows consistent with official PAGASA guidance of 24–27°C. Model consensus and recent station data show the daily minimum hovering between these two values depending on exact timing of any brief clear spells or rainfall intensity, explaining the near-even market split between 24°C and 25°C implied probabilities while rendering outcomes below 23°C or above 26°C highly unlikely.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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