Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models highlight the southwest monsoon as the dominant driver keeping Manila's August 31 peak temperatures clustered near 31–33 °C, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds limiting daytime heating. Official outlooks indicate highs around 29–32 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies and 60–80 % rain chances, consistent with the market's heaviest positioning on 32 °C (41.5 %) followed by 31 °C and 33 °C. A distant tropical depression east of Luzon adds minor moisture but does not alter the steering pattern. Traders appear to weigh these monsoon-driven conditions against historical August baselines near 31 °C, anticipating minimal upside risk above 33 °C before the next model updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Manila on August 31?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 31?
32°C 42%
31°C 28%
33°C 21%
30°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
11%
31°C
28%
32°C
42%
33°C
20%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 42%
31°C 28%
33°C 21%
30°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
$223 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$286 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$482 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$78 Vol.
2%
29°C
$231 Vol.
4%
30°C
$709 Vol.
11%
31°C
$803 Vol.
28%
32°C
$1,333 Vol.
42%
33°C
$483 Vol.
20%
34°C
$12 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$150 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models highlight the southwest monsoon as the dominant driver keeping Manila's August 31 peak temperatures clustered near 31–33 °C, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds limiting daytime heating. Official outlooks indicate highs around 29–32 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies and 60–80 % rain chances, consistent with the market's heaviest positioning on 32 °C (41.5 %) followed by 31 °C and 33 °C. A distant tropical depression east of Luzon adds minor moisture but does not alter the steering pattern. Traders appear to weigh these monsoon-driven conditions against historical August baselines near 31 °C, anticipating minimal upside risk above 33 °C before the next model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$4,790Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models highlight the southwest monsoon as the dominant driver keeping Manila's August 31 peak temperatures clustered near 31–33 °C, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds limiting daytime heating. Official outlooks indicate highs around 29–32 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies and 60–80 % rain chances, consistent with the market's heaviest positioning on 32 °C (41.5 %) followed by 31 °C and 33 °C. A distant tropical depression east of Luzon adds minor moisture but does not alter the steering pattern. Traders appear to weigh these monsoon-driven conditions against historical August baselines near 31 °C, anticipating minimal upside risk above 33 °C before the next model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,790Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models highlight the southwest monsoon as the dominant driver keeping Manila's August 31 peak temperatures clustered near 31–33 °C, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds limiting daytime heating. Official outlooks indicate highs around 29–32 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies and 60–80 % rain chances, consistent with the market's heaviest positioning on 32 °C (41.5 %) followed by 31 °C and 33 °C. A distant tropical depression east of Luzon adds minor moisture but does not alter the steering pattern. Traders appear to weigh these monsoon-driven conditions against historical August baselines near 31 °C, anticipating minimal upside risk above 33 °C before the next model updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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