The market's heavy weighting toward 27°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20 stems primarily from the Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of a 27°C minimum under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with partly sunny and hot conditions and only limited local showers possible later in the day. Recent surface observations and model guidance show overnight lows stabilizing near 26–27°C amid light easterly winds and high humidity that limits radiative cooling, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September. Minor forecast adjustments in shower timing or wind patterns introduce limited uncertainty around the exact low, but consensus across authoritative sources keeps the implied probability concentrated on 27°C with smaller shares for 26°C or 28°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?
27°C 74%
28°C 12%
26°C 10%
25°C 6%
BARU
$12,192 Vol.
BARU
$12,192 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
6%
26°C
10%
27°C
74%
28°C
12%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 74%
28°C 12%
26°C 10%
25°C 6%
BARU
$12,192 Vol.
BARU
$12,192 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
22°C or below
$41 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$734 Vol.
6%
26°C
$3,420 Vol.
10%
27°C
$4,745 Vol.
74%
28°C
$2,178 Vol.
12%
29°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$877 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$37 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's heavy weighting toward 27°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20 stems primarily from the Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of a 27°C minimum under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with partly sunny and hot conditions and only limited local showers possible later in the day. Recent surface observations and model guidance show overnight lows stabilizing near 26–27°C amid light easterly winds and high humidity that limits radiative cooling, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September. Minor forecast adjustments in shower timing or wind patterns introduce limited uncertainty around the exact low, but consensus across authoritative sources keeps the implied probability concentrated on 27°C with smaller shares for 26°C or 28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$12,192Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's heavy weighting toward 27°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20 stems primarily from the Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of a 27°C minimum under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with partly sunny and hot conditions and only limited local showers possible later in the day. Recent surface observations and model guidance show overnight lows stabilizing near 26–27°C amid light easterly winds and high humidity that limits radiative cooling, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September. Minor forecast adjustments in shower timing or wind patterns introduce limited uncertainty around the exact low, but consensus across authoritative sources keeps the implied probability concentrated on 27°C with smaller shares for 26°C or 28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$12,192Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's heavy weighting toward 27°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20 stems primarily from the Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of a 27°C minimum under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with partly sunny and hot conditions and only limited local showers possible later in the day. Recent surface observations and model guidance show overnight lows stabilizing near 26–27°C amid light easterly winds and high humidity that limits radiative cooling, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September. Minor forecast adjustments in shower timing or wind patterns introduce limited uncertainty around the exact low, but consensus across authoritative sources keeps the implied probability concentrated on 27°C with smaller shares for 26°C or 28°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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