The closely matched market-implied odds favoring a 26–27°C low for Hong Kong on September 18 stem from the northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone maintaining clear, dry conditions with light easterly winds. These promote modest overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 31–32°C, yet seasonal sea-surface temperatures around 28°C and urban heat retention limit further drops. Model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory projects a 26–31°C range, with minor variations in wind mixing and cloud cover determining whether the minimum settles at 26°C or holds at 27°C. Traders are monitoring the next HKO forecast update and real-time observations for any shifts in steering flow or humidity before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 18?
27°C 47%
26°C 43%
25°C 11%
23°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 18, 2026
21°C or below
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
8%
24°C
8%
25°C
11%
26°C
43%
27°C
47%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 47%
26°C 43%
25°C 11%
23°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 18, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C
$0 Vol.
3%
23°C
$0 Vol.
8%
24°C
$0 Vol.
8%
25°C
$140 Vol.
11%
26°C
$1,872 Vol.
43%
27°C
$598 Vol.
47%
28°C
$33 Vol.
3%
29°C
$0 Vol.
3%
30°C
$195 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$191 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The closely matched market-implied odds favoring a 26–27°C low for Hong Kong on September 18 stem from the northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone maintaining clear, dry conditions with light easterly winds. These promote modest overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 31–32°C, yet seasonal sea-surface temperatures around 28°C and urban heat retention limit further drops. Model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory projects a 26–31°C range, with minor variations in wind mixing and cloud cover determining whether the minimum settles at 26°C or holds at 27°C. Traders are monitoring the next HKO forecast update and real-time observations for any shifts in steering flow or humidity before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$3,029Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The closely matched market-implied odds favoring a 26–27°C low for Hong Kong on September 18 stem from the northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone maintaining clear, dry conditions with light easterly winds. These promote modest overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 31–32°C, yet seasonal sea-surface temperatures around 28°C and urban heat retention limit further drops. Model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory projects a 26–31°C range, with minor variations in wind mixing and cloud cover determining whether the minimum settles at 26°C or holds at 27°C. Traders are monitoring the next HKO forecast update and real-time observations for any shifts in steering flow or humidity before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,029Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market-implied odds favoring a 26–27°C low for Hong Kong on September 18 stem from the northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone maintaining clear, dry conditions with light easterly winds. These promote modest overnight radiative cooling after daytime highs near 31–32°C, yet seasonal sea-surface temperatures around 28°C and urban heat retention limit further drops. Model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory projects a 26–31°C range, with minor variations in wind mixing and cloud cover determining whether the minimum settles at 26°C or holds at 27°C. Traders are monitoring the next HKO forecast update and real-time observations for any shifts in steering flow or humidity before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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