**Trader consensus strongly favors a 27°C minimum temperature for Hong Kong on September 17, 2026, at 91.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects official Hong Kong Observatory data and forecasts showing overnight lows stabilizing near 27°C across urban stations (e.g., 27.0°C recorded at the Observatory and multiple sites from midnight onward), with the full-day range projected at 27–32°C under a persistent northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone. These conditions deliver generally fine, dry weather with light east to northeasterly winds, suppressing radiative cooling and keeping minimums elevated compared to more variable patterns. Historical September baselines and recent model consensus align with this outcome, as the monsoon has moderated gradually without introducing cooler air masses or significant cloud cover that could drop readings further. A shift to 26°C or lower would require unexpected developments such as localized heavy cloud or a brief wind lull enhancing overnight cooling, though current observations and short-term guidance indicate low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 17?
27°C 92%
26°C 6%
23°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
$28,920 Vol.
$28,920 Vol.
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
92%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 92%
26°C 6%
23°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
$28,920 Vol.
$28,920 Vol.
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
$86 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$154 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$110 Vol.
1%
24°C
$56 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,481 Vol.
1%
26°C
$8,070 Vol.
6%
27°C
$11,552 Vol.
92%
28°C
$5,192 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$153 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,237 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$37 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 27°C minimum temperature for Hong Kong on September 17, 2026, at 91.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects official Hong Kong Observatory data and forecasts showing overnight lows stabilizing near 27°C across urban stations (e.g., 27.0°C recorded at the Observatory and multiple sites from midnight onward), with the full-day range projected at 27–32°C under a persistent northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone. These conditions deliver generally fine, dry weather with light east to northeasterly winds, suppressing radiative cooling and keeping minimums elevated compared to more variable patterns. Historical September baselines and recent model consensus align with this outcome, as the monsoon has moderated gradually without introducing cooler air masses or significant cloud cover that could drop readings further.
A shift to 26°C or lower would require unexpected developments such as localized heavy cloud or a brief wind lull enhancing overnight cooling, though current observations and short-term guidance indicate low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$28,920Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 27°C minimum temperature for Hong Kong on September 17, 2026, at 91.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects official Hong Kong Observatory data and forecasts showing overnight lows stabilizing near 27°C across urban stations (e.g., 27.0°C recorded at the Observatory and multiple sites from midnight onward), with the full-day range projected at 27–32°C under a persistent northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone. These conditions deliver generally fine, dry weather with light east to northeasterly winds, suppressing radiative cooling and keeping minimums elevated compared to more variable patterns. Historical September baselines and recent model consensus align with this outcome, as the monsoon has moderated gradually without introducing cooler air masses or significant cloud cover that could drop readings further.
A shift to 26°C or lower would require unexpected developments such as localized heavy cloud or a brief wind lull enhancing overnight cooling, though current observations and short-term guidance indicate low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$28,920Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 27°C minimum temperature for Hong Kong on September 17, 2026, at 91.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects official Hong Kong Observatory data and forecasts showing overnight lows stabilizing near 27°C across urban stations (e.g., 27.0°C recorded at the Observatory and multiple sites from midnight onward), with the full-day range projected at 27–32°C under a persistent northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone. These conditions deliver generally fine, dry weather with light east to northeasterly winds, suppressing radiative cooling and keeping minimums elevated compared to more variable patterns. Historical September baselines and recent model consensus align with this outcome, as the monsoon has moderated gradually without introducing cooler air masses or significant cloud cover that could drop readings further. A shift to 26°C or lower would require unexpected developments such as localized heavy cloud or a brief wind lull enhancing overnight cooling, though current observations and short-term guidance indicate low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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