**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service places the September 17 high in New York City in the low-to-mid 80s under partly to mostly sunny skies and a southerly flow.** This setup favors the market-leading 80–81°F bin at 43% implied probability, followed by 82–83°F at 30.5%, as models show modest warming from recent 70s readings without strong high pressure or downslope effects to push readings higher. Increasing afternoon cloud cover and a low-end chance of showers introduce slight cooling potential that caps upside at 84–85°F (12.5%), while 78–79°F retains 18% support if marine influence or earlier cloud build-up dominates. Historical mid-September Central Park averages near 77°F provide context, but the current pattern aligns with the warmer side of recent analogs. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations through the afternoon will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on September 17?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 17?
80-81°F 44%
82-83°F 31%
84-85°F 14%
78-79°F 13%
BARU
$24,986 Vol.
BARU
$24,986 Vol.
Sep 17, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
44%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 44%
82-83°F 31%
84-85°F 14%
78-79°F 13%
BARU
$24,986 Vol.
BARU
$24,986 Vol.
Sep 17, 2026
71°F or below
$218 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$402 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$468 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$717 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$3,669 Vol.
13%
80-81°F
$5,919 Vol.
44%
82-83°F
$5,846 Vol.
31%
84-85°F
$5,961 Vol.
14%
86-87°F
$1,028 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$306 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$453 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service places the September 17 high in New York City in the low-to-mid 80s under partly to mostly sunny skies and a southerly flow.** This setup favors the market-leading 80–81°F bin at 43% implied probability, followed by 82–83°F at 30.5%, as models show modest warming from recent 70s readings without strong high pressure or downslope effects to push readings higher. Increasing afternoon cloud cover and a low-end chance of showers introduce slight cooling potential that caps upside at 84–85°F (12.5%), while 78–79°F retains 18% support if marine influence or earlier cloud build-up dominates. Historical mid-September Central Park averages near 77°F provide context, but the current pattern aligns with the warmer side of recent analogs. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations through the afternoon will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$24,986Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service places the September 17 high in New York City in the low-to-mid 80s under partly to mostly sunny skies and a southerly flow.** This setup favors the market-leading 80–81°F bin at 43% implied probability, followed by 82–83°F at 30.5%, as models show modest warming from recent 70s readings without strong high pressure or downslope effects to push readings higher. Increasing afternoon cloud cover and a low-end chance of showers introduce slight cooling potential that caps upside at 84–85°F (12.5%), while 78–79°F retains 18% support if marine influence or earlier cloud build-up dominates. Historical mid-September Central Park averages near 77°F provide context, but the current pattern aligns with the warmer side of recent analogs. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations through the afternoon will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,986Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service places the September 17 high in New York City in the low-to-mid 80s under partly to mostly sunny skies and a southerly flow.** This setup favors the market-leading 80–81°F bin at 43% implied probability, followed by 82–83°F at 30.5%, as models show modest warming from recent 70s readings without strong high pressure or downslope effects to push readings higher. Increasing afternoon cloud cover and a low-end chance of showers introduce slight cooling potential that caps upside at 84–85°F (12.5%), while 78–79°F retains 18% support if marine influence or earlier cloud build-up dominates. Historical mid-September Central Park averages near 77°F provide context, but the current pattern aligns with the warmer side of recent analogs. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations through the afternoon will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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