Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations confirm a maximum of 31°C on September 16 under a fresh northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, delivering generally fine, dry conditions with limited cloud cover and low precipitation risk. This alignment of official model consensus, measured temperatures peaking near 31°C midday, and typical September climatology under similar synoptic patterns drives the market's overwhelming 99.2% implied probability for 31°C. A realistic challenge would require rapid development of unexpected showers or thicker cloud reducing insolation enough to cap the daily high below the threshold, though current steering patterns and humidity profiles make such a shift unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 16?
31°C 99.0%
30°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$132,635 Vol.
$132,635 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
99%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.0%
30°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$132,635 Vol.
$132,635 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
25°C or below
$712 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$259 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,354 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$37,248 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$12,703 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$25,461 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$23,406 Vol.
99%
32°C
$18,897 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$8,954 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,686 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,955 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations confirm a maximum of 31°C on September 16 under a fresh northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, delivering generally fine, dry conditions with limited cloud cover and low precipitation risk. This alignment of official model consensus, measured temperatures peaking near 31°C midday, and typical September climatology under similar synoptic patterns drives the market's overwhelming 99.2% implied probability for 31°C. A realistic challenge would require rapid development of unexpected showers or thicker cloud reducing insolation enough to cap the daily high below the threshold, though current steering patterns and humidity profiles make such a shift unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$132,635Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations confirm a maximum of 31°C on September 16 under a fresh northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, delivering generally fine, dry conditions with limited cloud cover and low precipitation risk. This alignment of official model consensus, measured temperatures peaking near 31°C midday, and typical September climatology under similar synoptic patterns drives the market's overwhelming 99.2% implied probability for 31°C. A realistic challenge would require rapid development of unexpected showers or thicker cloud reducing insolation enough to cap the daily high below the threshold, though current steering patterns and humidity profiles make such a shift unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$132,635Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations confirm a maximum of 31°C on September 16 under a fresh northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, delivering generally fine, dry conditions with limited cloud cover and low precipitation risk. This alignment of official model consensus, measured temperatures peaking near 31°C midday, and typical September climatology under similar synoptic patterns drives the market's overwhelming 99.2% implied probability for 31°C. A realistic challenge would require rapid development of unexpected showers or thicker cloud reducing insolation enough to cap the daily high below the threshold, though current steering patterns and humidity profiles make such a shift unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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