Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts place the September 18 maximum in a 27–32 °C range under persistent northeast monsoon flow and high-pressure subsidence that maintains clear skies and low humidity. This setup favors strong daytime solar heating, yet easterly winds near 4–5 on the Beaufort scale enhance mixing and moderate peak values, keeping the market closely split between 31 °C and 32 °C. Minor differences in model boundary-layer schemes and exact timing of any weak cloud cover explain the near-even trader odds, with limited upside risk to 33 °C or higher absent a forecast shift. Updated HKO guidance and regional model runs tomorrow morning will provide the next key data point before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 18?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 18?
31°C 37%
32°C 37%
30°C 15%
33°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Sep 18, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
15%
31°C
37%
32°C
37%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 37%
32°C 37%
30°C 15%
33°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Sep 18, 2026
25°C or below
$739 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$259 Vol.
1%
27°C
$263 Vol.
1%
28°C
$275 Vol.
1%
29°C
$178 Vol.
3%
30°C
$196 Vol.
15%
31°C
$431 Vol.
37%
32°C
$2,141 Vol.
37%
33°C
$417 Vol.
11%
34°C
$367 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$388 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts place the September 18 maximum in a 27–32 °C range under persistent northeast monsoon flow and high-pressure subsidence that maintains clear skies and low humidity. This setup favors strong daytime solar heating, yet easterly winds near 4–5 on the Beaufort scale enhance mixing and moderate peak values, keeping the market closely split between 31 °C and 32 °C. Minor differences in model boundary-layer schemes and exact timing of any weak cloud cover explain the near-even trader odds, with limited upside risk to 33 °C or higher absent a forecast shift. Updated HKO guidance and regional model runs tomorrow morning will provide the next key data point before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,653Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts place the September 18 maximum in a 27–32 °C range under persistent northeast monsoon flow and high-pressure subsidence that maintains clear skies and low humidity. This setup favors strong daytime solar heating, yet easterly winds near 4–5 on the Beaufort scale enhance mixing and moderate peak values, keeping the market closely split between 31 °C and 32 °C. Minor differences in model boundary-layer schemes and exact timing of any weak cloud cover explain the near-even trader odds, with limited upside risk to 33 °C or higher absent a forecast shift. Updated HKO guidance and regional model runs tomorrow morning will provide the next key data point before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,653Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts place the September 18 maximum in a 27–32 °C range under persistent northeast monsoon flow and high-pressure subsidence that maintains clear skies and low humidity. This setup favors strong daytime solar heating, yet easterly winds near 4–5 on the Beaufort scale enhance mixing and moderate peak values, keeping the market closely split between 31 °C and 32 °C. Minor differences in model boundary-layer schemes and exact timing of any weak cloud cover explain the near-even trader odds, with limited upside risk to 33 °C or higher absent a forecast shift. Updated HKO guidance and regional model runs tomorrow morning will provide the next key data point before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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