Current forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Service of Mexico and international ensembles project overnight lows of 12–14°C in Mexico City on September 21, aligning with the 1981–2010 climatological average of roughly 13°C at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Primary drivers include persistent cloud cover and light northerly flow typical of the late rainy season, which limit radiative cooling while preventing strong cold-air advection. Variable precipitation chances (20–40%) and modest wind speeds further moderate minimums, though clearer breaks could allow readings a degree or two lower. With no major frontal systems or anomalous high-pressure setups expected in the next 48 hours, trader consensus centers on near-normal outcomes while assigning meaningful probability to both warmer and cooler tails due to inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Mexico City on September 21?
17°C or higher 100%
7°C or below 99%
12°C 89%
13°C 89%
7°C or below
99%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
89%
13°C
89%
14°C
21%
15°C
40%
16°C
89%
17°C or higher
100%
17°C or higher 100%
7°C or below 99%
12°C 89%
13°C 89%
7°C or below
99%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
89%
13°C
89%
14°C
21%
15°C
40%
16°C
89%
17°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 19, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Service of Mexico and international ensembles project overnight lows of 12–14°C in Mexico City on September 21, aligning with the 1981–2010 climatological average of roughly 13°C at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Primary drivers include persistent cloud cover and light northerly flow typical of the late rainy season, which limit radiative cooling while preventing strong cold-air advection. Variable precipitation chances (20–40%) and modest wind speeds further moderate minimums, though clearer breaks could allow readings a degree or two lower. With no major frontal systems or anomalous high-pressure setups expected in the next 48 hours, trader consensus centers on near-normal outcomes while assigning meaningful probability to both warmer and cooler tails due to inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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