Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for New York City on September 19 point to a daytime high in the low 70s under partly cloudy skies and a moderate northeast flow, with Central Park and airport stations projected near 72°F. This places the strongest implied probability on the 70-71°F bin, as late-September climatology favors highs near 74°F but a cooler air mass and onshore winds suppress warming. Traders appear to weigh the tight agreement across official guidance and limited model spread, while assigning lower odds to 72-73°F or cooler outcomes that would require faster cooling or greater cloud cover than currently indicated. Resolution hinges on the official maximum temperature recorded at Central Park.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on September 19?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 19?
70-71°F 64%
72-73°F 24%
68-69°F 9%
74-75°F 6%
BARU
$13,288 Vol.
BARU
$13,288 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
64%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 64%
72-73°F 24%
68-69°F 9%
74-75°F 6%
BARU
$13,288 Vol.
BARU
$13,288 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
61°F or below
$111 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$421 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$121 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$302 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$3,107 Vol.
9%
70-71°F
$4,564 Vol.
64%
72-73°F
$2,269 Vol.
24%
74-75°F
$1,878 Vol.
6%
76-77°F
$144 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$260 Vol.
<1%
80°F or higher
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for New York City on September 19 point to a daytime high in the low 70s under partly cloudy skies and a moderate northeast flow, with Central Park and airport stations projected near 72°F. This places the strongest implied probability on the 70-71°F bin, as late-September climatology favors highs near 74°F but a cooler air mass and onshore winds suppress warming. Traders appear to weigh the tight agreement across official guidance and limited model spread, while assigning lower odds to 72-73°F or cooler outcomes that would require faster cooling or greater cloud cover than currently indicated. Resolution hinges on the official maximum temperature recorded at Central Park.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 17, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volume
$13,288Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 3:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for New York City on September 19 point to a daytime high in the low 70s under partly cloudy skies and a moderate northeast flow, with Central Park and airport stations projected near 72°F. This places the strongest implied probability on the 70-71°F bin, as late-September climatology favors highs near 74°F but a cooler air mass and onshore winds suppress warming. Traders appear to weigh the tight agreement across official guidance and limited model spread, while assigning lower odds to 72-73°F or cooler outcomes that would require faster cooling or greater cloud cover than currently indicated. Resolution hinges on the official maximum temperature recorded at Central Park.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,288Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 3:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for New York City on September 19 point to a daytime high in the low 70s under partly cloudy skies and a moderate northeast flow, with Central Park and airport stations projected near 72°F. This places the strongest implied probability on the 70-71°F bin, as late-September climatology favors highs near 74°F but a cooler air mass and onshore winds suppress warming. Traders appear to weigh the tight agreement across official guidance and limited model spread, while assigning lower odds to 72-73°F or cooler outcomes that would require faster cooling or greater cloud cover than currently indicated. Resolution hinges on the official maximum temperature recorded at Central Park.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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