Recent forecasts from meteorological models and official Chinese weather services indicate a daily maximum of 24°C in Chengdu on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies with periods of light rain and light northeasterly winds, aligning closely with late-September climatology in the Sichuan Basin where highs average near 25°C. This data, combined with observed morning temperatures in the low 20s°C and limited afternoon solar insolation due to cloud cover, underpins the market's overwhelming 91.5% implied probability for 24°C. A stronger high-pressure ridge or unexpected clearing that boosts insolation could realistically push the reading to 25°C, while persistent heavy rain or cooler advection might hold it at or below 23°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 18?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 18?
24°C 96%
25°C 5%
26°C 2%
27°C <1%
$25,117 Vol.
$25,117 Vol.
Sep 18, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
96%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 96%
25°C 5%
26°C 2%
27°C <1%
$25,117 Vol.
$25,117 Vol.
Sep 18, 2026
20°C or below
$539 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$221 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,637 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$4,146 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,554 Vol.
96%
25°C
$2,567 Vol.
5%
26°C
$2,194 Vol.
2%
27°C
$5,708 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,500 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$696 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$357 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models and official Chinese weather services indicate a daily maximum of 24°C in Chengdu on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies with periods of light rain and light northeasterly winds, aligning closely with late-September climatology in the Sichuan Basin where highs average near 25°C. This data, combined with observed morning temperatures in the low 20s°C and limited afternoon solar insolation due to cloud cover, underpins the market's overwhelming 91.5% implied probability for 24°C. A stronger high-pressure ridge or unexpected clearing that boosts insolation could realistically push the reading to 25°C, while persistent heavy rain or cooler advection might hold it at or below 23°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$25,117Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models and official Chinese weather services indicate a daily maximum of 24°C in Chengdu on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies with periods of light rain and light northeasterly winds, aligning closely with late-September climatology in the Sichuan Basin where highs average near 25°C. This data, combined with observed morning temperatures in the low 20s°C and limited afternoon solar insolation due to cloud cover, underpins the market's overwhelming 91.5% implied probability for 24°C. A stronger high-pressure ridge or unexpected clearing that boosts insolation could realistically push the reading to 25°C, while persistent heavy rain or cooler advection might hold it at or below 23°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,117Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models and official Chinese weather services indicate a daily maximum of 24°C in Chengdu on September 18 under mostly cloudy skies with periods of light rain and light northeasterly winds, aligning closely with late-September climatology in the Sichuan Basin where highs average near 25°C. This data, combined with observed morning temperatures in the low 20s°C and limited afternoon solar insolation due to cloud cover, underpins the market's overwhelming 91.5% implied probability for 24°C. A stronger high-pressure ridge or unexpected clearing that boosts insolation could realistically push the reading to 25°C, while persistent heavy rain or cooler advection might hold it at or below 23°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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