Current forecast consensus from global and regional models points to a peak temperature of 29–32°C in Wuhan on September 20 under partly cloudy skies with light northwest-to-northeast winds. This range reflects typical mid-September transition conditions, where daytime solar heating under variable cloud cover drives the daily maximum, tempered by moderate humidity and minimal precipitation. Model spreads arise from differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with clearer scenarios favoring the upper end near 32°C. Traders appear to weigh these uncertainties against historical September averages around 28–30°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered while awaiting the next China Meteorological Administration or ECMWF updates before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 20?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 20?
33°C 34%
30°C 32%
29°C 23%
31°C 22%
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
11%
28°C
16%
29°C
26%
30°C
32%
31°C
22%
32°C
19%
33°C
34%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
33°C 34%
30°C 32%
29°C 23%
31°C 22%
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
25°C or below
$11 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$10 Vol.
11%
28°C
$0 Vol.
16%
29°C
$4 Vol.
26%
30°C
$30 Vol.
32%
31°C
$5 Vol.
22%
32°C
$0 Vol.
19%
33°C
$0 Vol.
34%
34°C
$0 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from global and regional models points to a peak temperature of 29–32°C in Wuhan on September 20 under partly cloudy skies with light northwest-to-northeast winds. This range reflects typical mid-September transition conditions, where daytime solar heating under variable cloud cover drives the daily maximum, tempered by moderate humidity and minimal precipitation. Model spreads arise from differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with clearer scenarios favoring the upper end near 32°C. Traders appear to weigh these uncertainties against historical September averages around 28–30°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered while awaiting the next China Meteorological Administration or ECMWF updates before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$61Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from global and regional models points to a peak temperature of 29–32°C in Wuhan on September 20 under partly cloudy skies with light northwest-to-northeast winds. This range reflects typical mid-September transition conditions, where daytime solar heating under variable cloud cover drives the daily maximum, tempered by moderate humidity and minimal precipitation. Model spreads arise from differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with clearer scenarios favoring the upper end near 32°C. Traders appear to weigh these uncertainties against historical September averages around 28–30°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered while awaiting the next China Meteorological Administration or ECMWF updates before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$61Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from global and regional models points to a peak temperature of 29–32°C in Wuhan on September 20 under partly cloudy skies with light northwest-to-northeast winds. This range reflects typical mid-September transition conditions, where daytime solar heating under variable cloud cover drives the daily maximum, tempered by moderate humidity and minimal precipitation. Model spreads arise from differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with clearer scenarios favoring the upper end near 32°C. Traders appear to weigh these uncertainties against historical September averages around 28–30°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered while awaiting the next China Meteorological Administration or ECMWF updates before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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