Recent forecast model runs for Chengdu indicate a high near 25°C on September 20 amid persistent cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and light northeasterly winds that limit daytime heating. Seasonal cooling in late September, combined with elevated humidity and reduced solar insolation from overcast skies, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers shows modest model spread, with some ensembles allowing brief clearing that could push maxima slightly higher while others favor steadier precipitation keeping readings nearer 24°C. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical September averages near 26°C, with resolution hinging on the final 48-hour observational updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 20?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 20?
26°C 26%
25°C 23%
24°C 20%
23°C 18%
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
22°C or below
4%
23°C
18%
24°C
20%
25°C
23%
26°C
26%
27°C
18%
28°C
17%
29°C
17%
30°C
13%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 26%
25°C 23%
24°C 20%
23°C 18%
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
22°C or below
$76 Vol.
4%
23°C
$20 Vol.
18%
24°C
$5 Vol.
20%
25°C
$1 Vol.
23%
26°C
$4 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
18%
28°C
$0 Vol.
17%
29°C
$0 Vol.
17%
30°C
$0 Vol.
13%
31°C
$0 Vol.
4%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Chengdu indicate a high near 25°C on September 20 amid persistent cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and light northeasterly winds that limit daytime heating. Seasonal cooling in late September, combined with elevated humidity and reduced solar insolation from overcast skies, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers shows modest model spread, with some ensembles allowing brief clearing that could push maxima slightly higher while others favor steadier precipitation keeping readings nearer 24°C. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical September averages near 26°C, with resolution hinging on the final 48-hour observational updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$106Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Chengdu indicate a high near 25°C on September 20 amid persistent cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and light northeasterly winds that limit daytime heating. Seasonal cooling in late September, combined with elevated humidity and reduced solar insolation from overcast skies, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers shows modest model spread, with some ensembles allowing brief clearing that could push maxima slightly higher while others favor steadier precipitation keeping readings nearer 24°C. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical September averages near 26°C, with resolution hinging on the final 48-hour observational updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$106Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs for Chengdu indicate a high near 25°C on September 20 amid persistent cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and light northeasterly winds that limit daytime heating. Seasonal cooling in late September, combined with elevated humidity and reduced solar insolation from overcast skies, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers shows modest model spread, with some ensembles allowing brief clearing that could push maxima slightly higher while others favor steadier precipitation keeping readings nearer 24°C. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical September averages near 26°C, with resolution hinging on the final 48-hour observational updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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