Hong Kong's official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to fine, dry conditions under a high-pressure anticyclone, with daytime highs expected near 32–33°C in urban areas and slightly higher inland, driven by weak easterly winds and low rainfall probability. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 99.2% implied probability for a 33°C peak, reflecting trader consensus on the day's maximum temperature reading. Historical September baselines and current model runs support limited variability, though localized cloud build-up or measurement site differences could still produce a 32°C outcome if conditions shift before the official daily high is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 19?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 19?
33°C 99.4%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
$95,965 Vol.
$95,965 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
99%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.4%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
$95,965 Vol.
$95,965 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
26°C or below
$309 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,358 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$5,348 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$11,908 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$18,982 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$15,800 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$32,551 Vol.
99%
34°C
$8,704 Vol.
1%
35°C
$718 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$163 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to fine, dry conditions under a high-pressure anticyclone, with daytime highs expected near 32–33°C in urban areas and slightly higher inland, driven by weak easterly winds and low rainfall probability. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 99.2% implied probability for a 33°C peak, reflecting trader consensus on the day's maximum temperature reading. Historical September baselines and current model runs support limited variability, though localized cloud build-up or measurement site differences could still produce a 32°C outcome if conditions shift before the official daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$95,965Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to fine, dry conditions under a high-pressure anticyclone, with daytime highs expected near 32–33°C in urban areas and slightly higher inland, driven by weak easterly winds and low rainfall probability. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 99.2% implied probability for a 33°C peak, reflecting trader consensus on the day's maximum temperature reading. Historical September baselines and current model runs support limited variability, though localized cloud build-up or measurement site differences could still produce a 32°C outcome if conditions shift before the official daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$95,965Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to fine, dry conditions under a high-pressure anticyclone, with daytime highs expected near 32–33°C in urban areas and slightly higher inland, driven by weak easterly winds and low rainfall probability. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 99.2% implied probability for a 33°C peak, reflecting trader consensus on the day's maximum temperature reading. Historical September baselines and current model runs support limited variability, though localized cloud build-up or measurement site differences could still produce a 32°C outcome if conditions shift before the official daily high is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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