Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate San Francisco's overnight low into September 21 will hover near 58°F amid persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer, keeping conditions close to the long-term average of about 59°F. Trader consensus remains nearly even between sub-52°F and 70°F+ outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover, wind strength, or marine intrusion depth can easily push the minimum several degrees either way in this coastal microclimate. Westerly breezes and typical September fog timing introduce the main uncertainty, with no strong high-pressure ridge or offshore flow currently forecast to drive unusual warmth. Updated model runs and morning observations ahead of the 21st will likely refine the range as resolution nears.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in San Francisco on September 21?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 21?
58-59°F 58%
56-57°F 40%
62-63°F 40%
60-61°F 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
51°F or below
7%
52-53°F
11%
54-55°F
19%
56-57°F
40%
58-59°F
58%
60-61°F
39%
62-63°F
40%
64-65°F
19%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
7%
70°F or higher
5%
58-59°F 58%
56-57°F 40%
62-63°F 40%
60-61°F 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
51°F or below
$0 Vol.
7%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
11%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
19%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
40%
58-59°F
$85 Vol.
58%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
39%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
40%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
19%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
11%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
7%
70°F or higher
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate San Francisco's overnight low into September 21 will hover near 58°F amid persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer, keeping conditions close to the long-term average of about 59°F. Trader consensus remains nearly even between sub-52°F and 70°F+ outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover, wind strength, or marine intrusion depth can easily push the minimum several degrees either way in this coastal microclimate. Westerly breezes and typical September fog timing introduce the main uncertainty, with no strong high-pressure ridge or offshore flow currently forecast to drive unusual warmth. Updated model runs and morning observations ahead of the 21st will likely refine the range as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 19, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$85Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate San Francisco's overnight low into September 21 will hover near 58°F amid persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer, keeping conditions close to the long-term average of about 59°F. Trader consensus remains nearly even between sub-52°F and 70°F+ outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover, wind strength, or marine intrusion depth can easily push the minimum several degrees either way in this coastal microclimate. Westerly breezes and typical September fog timing introduce the main uncertainty, with no strong high-pressure ridge or offshore flow currently forecast to drive unusual warmth. Updated model runs and morning observations ahead of the 21st will likely refine the range as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$85Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate San Francisco's overnight low into September 21 will hover near 58°F amid persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer, keeping conditions close to the long-term average of about 59°F. Trader consensus remains nearly even between sub-52°F and 70°F+ outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover, wind strength, or marine intrusion depth can easily push the minimum several degrees either way in this coastal microclimate. Westerly breezes and typical September fog timing introduce the main uncertainty, with no strong high-pressure ridge or offshore flow currently forecast to drive unusual warmth. Updated model runs and morning observations ahead of the 21st will likely refine the range as resolution nears.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan