**Strong model consensus from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international ensembles, reinforced by real-time observations, shows a cold air mass and clear nocturnal radiational cooling driving the overnight minimum well below 6°C on August 30.** Late-winter polar intrusions and southerly flow have maintained below-average temperatures across the Río de la Plata region, with recent cold-front passages suppressing daytime recovery and allowing efficient heat loss under mostly clear skies and light winds. Historical climatology for late August supports occasional dips to single digits, and current guidance shows no significant warm advection or cloud cover to moderate the low. Trader positioning at 99.9% for 6°C or below reflects this alignment of dynamical models, surface observations, and the absence of countervailing signals. The main realistic challenges would be an unexpected strengthening of easterly flow off the Atlantic or rapid model error in boundary-layer mixing, though neither appears likely given the stable pattern.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30?
6°C or below 99.9%
10°C <1%
9°C <1%
11°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
100%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
6°C or below 99.9%
10°C <1%
9°C <1%
11°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
$914 Vol.
100%
7°C
$244 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$281 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$271 Vol.
1%
10°C
$224 Vol.
1%
11°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$72 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$89 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$72 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$72 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$73 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong model consensus from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international ensembles, reinforced by real-time observations, shows a cold air mass and clear nocturnal radiational cooling driving the overnight minimum well below 6°C on August 30.** Late-winter polar intrusions and southerly flow have maintained below-average temperatures across the Río de la Plata region, with recent cold-front passages suppressing daytime recovery and allowing efficient heat loss under mostly clear skies and light winds. Historical climatology for late August supports occasional dips to single digits, and current guidance shows no significant warm advection or cloud cover to moderate the low. Trader positioning at 99.9% for 6°C or below reflects this alignment of dynamical models, surface observations, and the absence of countervailing signals. The main realistic challenges would be an unexpected strengthening of easterly flow off the Atlantic or rapid model error in boundary-layer mixing, though neither appears likely given the stable pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Volume
$2,437Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong model consensus from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international ensembles, reinforced by real-time observations, shows a cold air mass and clear nocturnal radiational cooling driving the overnight minimum well below 6°C on August 30.** Late-winter polar intrusions and southerly flow have maintained below-average temperatures across the Río de la Plata region, with recent cold-front passages suppressing daytime recovery and allowing efficient heat loss under mostly clear skies and light winds. Historical climatology for late August supports occasional dips to single digits, and current guidance shows no significant warm advection or cloud cover to moderate the low. Trader positioning at 99.9% for 6°C or below reflects this alignment of dynamical models, surface observations, and the absence of countervailing signals. The main realistic challenges would be an unexpected strengthening of easterly flow off the Atlantic or rapid model error in boundary-layer mixing, though neither appears likely given the stable pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,437Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong model consensus from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international ensembles, reinforced by real-time observations, shows a cold air mass and clear nocturnal radiational cooling driving the overnight minimum well below 6°C on August 30.** Late-winter polar intrusions and southerly flow have maintained below-average temperatures across the Río de la Plata region, with recent cold-front passages suppressing daytime recovery and allowing efficient heat loss under mostly clear skies and light winds. Historical climatology for late August supports occasional dips to single digits, and current guidance shows no significant warm advection or cloud cover to moderate the low. Trader positioning at 99.9% for 6°C or below reflects this alignment of dynamical models, surface observations, and the absence of countervailing signals. The main realistic challenges would be an unexpected strengthening of easterly flow off the Atlantic or rapid model error in boundary-layer mixing, though neither appears likely given the stable pattern.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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