Recent official forecasts and model consensus from sources like the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and international services indicate a warm air mass persisting into early September, with September 1 highs projected near 33–34°C under partly cloudy conditions and light northeasterly winds. This aligns with late-summer patterns in the Sichuan Basin, where subsidence and reduced cloud cover allow strong daytime heating before typical autumn cooling sets in. Recent observations show daily maxima climbing to 31–33°C in late August, supporting trader emphasis on 34–35°C outcomes as the most probable based on current guidance. Short-range model updates and any shifts in regional pressure systems could adjust these values before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 1?
35°C 38%
34°C 26%
36°C 19%
33°C 11%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
11%
34°C
26%
35°C
38%
36°C
19%
37°C
6%
38°C or higher
2%
35°C 38%
34°C 26%
36°C 19%
33°C 11%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
11%
34°C
26%
35°C
38%
36°C
19%
37°C
6%
38°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and model consensus from sources like the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and international services indicate a warm air mass persisting into early September, with September 1 highs projected near 33–34°C under partly cloudy conditions and light northeasterly winds. This aligns with late-summer patterns in the Sichuan Basin, where subsidence and reduced cloud cover allow strong daytime heating before typical autumn cooling sets in. Recent observations show daily maxima climbing to 31–33°C in late August, supporting trader emphasis on 34–35°C outcomes as the most probable based on current guidance. Short-range model updates and any shifts in regional pressure systems could adjust these values before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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