Recent forecasts for Wuhan show a cooling trend driven by northerly and northeasterly winds advecting cooler air masses, combined with increasing cloud cover and scattered showers linked to typhoon remnants, moderating daytime solar heating. This transitional early-autumn pattern—typical as the East Asian monsoon weakens—supports highest temperatures clustered around 28–30 °C, aligning with market-implied odds of 29 °C (29 %), 30 °C (25.5 %), and 28 °C (23 %). Key differentiating factors include wind strength affecting mixing and advection, cloud optical depth limiting surface insolation, and local humidity influencing the diurnal range. Official model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration continue to refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 1?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 1?
29°C 29%
30°C 25%
28°C 23%
31°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
10%
28°C
23%
29°C
29%
30°C
25%
31°C
12%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
4%
29°C 29%
30°C 25%
28°C 23%
31°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
23°C or below
$120 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$27 Vol.
5%
27°C
$0 Vol.
10%
28°C
$42 Vol.
23%
29°C
$76 Vol.
29%
30°C
$143 Vol.
25%
31°C
$164 Vol.
12%
32°C
$16 Vol.
6%
33°C or higher
$10 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan show a cooling trend driven by northerly and northeasterly winds advecting cooler air masses, combined with increasing cloud cover and scattered showers linked to typhoon remnants, moderating daytime solar heating. This transitional early-autumn pattern—typical as the East Asian monsoon weakens—supports highest temperatures clustered around 28–30 °C, aligning with market-implied odds of 29 °C (29 %), 30 °C (25.5 %), and 28 °C (23 %). Key differentiating factors include wind strength affecting mixing and advection, cloud optical depth limiting surface insolation, and local humidity influencing the diurnal range. Official model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration continue to refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$638Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan show a cooling trend driven by northerly and northeasterly winds advecting cooler air masses, combined with increasing cloud cover and scattered showers linked to typhoon remnants, moderating daytime solar heating. This transitional early-autumn pattern—typical as the East Asian monsoon weakens—supports highest temperatures clustered around 28–30 °C, aligning with market-implied odds of 29 °C (29 %), 30 °C (25.5 %), and 28 °C (23 %). Key differentiating factors include wind strength affecting mixing and advection, cloud optical depth limiting surface insolation, and local humidity influencing the diurnal range. Official model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration continue to refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$638Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Wuhan show a cooling trend driven by northerly and northeasterly winds advecting cooler air masses, combined with increasing cloud cover and scattered showers linked to typhoon remnants, moderating daytime solar heating. This transitional early-autumn pattern—typical as the East Asian monsoon weakens—supports highest temperatures clustered around 28–30 °C, aligning with market-implied odds of 29 °C (29 %), 30 °C (25.5 %), and 28 °C (23 %). Key differentiating factors include wind strength affecting mixing and advection, cloud optical depth limiting surface insolation, and local humidity influencing the diurnal range. Official model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration continue to refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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