Current short-range forecasts from global models indicate a maximum temperature of 20–21°C in Amsterdam on September 1 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the close 44.5% and 35.5% market-implied odds for those outcomes. Recent model consensus shows high pressure building with reduced cloud cover and dew points near 12–14°C, limiting convective activity and supporting modest afternoon warming relative to seasonal norms of 18–20°C. Minor spreads across ensemble members reflect typical uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and wind advection two days out, with final guidance updates expected to refine the peak reading before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 1?
20°C 45%
21°C 36%
19°C 13%
22°C 7%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
13%
20°C
45%
21°C
36%
22°C
7%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 45%
21°C 36%
19°C 13%
22°C 7%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
13%
20°C
45%
21°C
36%
22°C
7%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from global models indicate a maximum temperature of 20–21°C in Amsterdam on September 1 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the close 44.5% and 35.5% market-implied odds for those outcomes. Recent model consensus shows high pressure building with reduced cloud cover and dew points near 12–14°C, limiting convective activity and supporting modest afternoon warming relative to seasonal norms of 18–20°C. Minor spreads across ensemble members reflect typical uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and wind advection two days out, with final guidance updates expected to refine the peak reading before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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