Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and southwesterly flow tied to a low-pressure system are expected to cap daytime heating across Amsterdam on August 31, with official forecasts from multiple models converging on a daily maximum of 18–19 °C. These conditions—combined with high humidity and limited solar insolation—reduce the likelihood of reaching the seasonal average high near 21 °C. Market-implied probabilities favor 20 °C or 19 °C because traders weigh residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and measurement at the primary station against the cool, unsettled pattern; probabilities drop sharply above 21 °C or below 18 °C given model consensus and the narrow historical range for late-August maxima under similar synoptic setups.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 31?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 31?
20°C 54%
19°C 41%
21°C 5%
18°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
41%
20°C
54%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 54%
19°C 41%
21°C 5%
18°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
14°C or below
$67 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$67 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$311 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$356 Vol.
1%
18°C
$598 Vol.
4%
19°C
$1,186 Vol.
41%
20°C
$900 Vol.
54%
21°C
$564 Vol.
5%
22°C
$439 Vol.
2%
23°C
$204 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$264 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and southwesterly flow tied to a low-pressure system are expected to cap daytime heating across Amsterdam on August 31, with official forecasts from multiple models converging on a daily maximum of 18–19 °C. These conditions—combined with high humidity and limited solar insolation—reduce the likelihood of reaching the seasonal average high near 21 °C. Market-implied probabilities favor 20 °C or 19 °C because traders weigh residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and measurement at the primary station against the cool, unsettled pattern; probabilities drop sharply above 21 °C or below 18 °C given model consensus and the narrow historical range for late-August maxima under similar synoptic setups.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$4,956Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and southwesterly flow tied to a low-pressure system are expected to cap daytime heating across Amsterdam on August 31, with official forecasts from multiple models converging on a daily maximum of 18–19 °C. These conditions—combined with high humidity and limited solar insolation—reduce the likelihood of reaching the seasonal average high near 21 °C. Market-implied probabilities favor 20 °C or 19 °C because traders weigh residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and measurement at the primary station against the cool, unsettled pattern; probabilities drop sharply above 21 °C or below 18 °C given model consensus and the narrow historical range for late-August maxima under similar synoptic setups.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,956Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and southwesterly flow tied to a low-pressure system are expected to cap daytime heating across Amsterdam on August 31, with official forecasts from multiple models converging on a daily maximum of 18–19 °C. These conditions—combined with high humidity and limited solar insolation—reduce the likelihood of reaching the seasonal average high near 21 °C. Market-implied probabilities favor 20 °C or 19 °C because traders weigh residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and measurement at the primary station against the cool, unsettled pattern; probabilities drop sharply above 21 °C or below 18 °C given model consensus and the narrow historical range for late-August maxima under similar synoptic setups.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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