Recent forecast guidance from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration indicates Shanghai's September 8 high will likely peak near 29–30 °C under northerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and a chance of light rain or showers that could cap afternoon warming. Seasonal norms for early September place typical maxima around 30 °C, and current conditions show no strong subtropical ridge or heat advection to push readings higher. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with minor differences in cloud timing or precipitation timing creating the narrow gap between the two leading outcomes; traders appear to weigh these variables heavily given the market's tight distribution. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 8?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 8?
30°C 44%
29°C 36%
31°C 9%
28°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Sep 8, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
7%
29°C
36%
30°C
44%
31°C
9%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 44%
29°C 36%
31°C 9%
28°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Sep 8, 2026
24°C or below
$100 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
6%
28°C
$7 Vol.
7%
29°C
$5 Vol.
36%
30°C
$42 Vol.
44%
31°C
$5 Vol.
9%
32°C
$8 Vol.
2%
33°C
$0 Vol.
2%
34°C or higher
$100 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration indicates Shanghai's September 8 high will likely peak near 29–30 °C under northerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and a chance of light rain or showers that could cap afternoon warming. Seasonal norms for early September place typical maxima around 30 °C, and current conditions show no strong subtropical ridge or heat advection to push readings higher. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with minor differences in cloud timing or precipitation timing creating the narrow gap between the two leading outcomes; traders appear to weigh these variables heavily given the market's tight distribution. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$267Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration indicates Shanghai's September 8 high will likely peak near 29–30 °C under northerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and a chance of light rain or showers that could cap afternoon warming. Seasonal norms for early September place typical maxima around 30 °C, and current conditions show no strong subtropical ridge or heat advection to push readings higher. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with minor differences in cloud timing or precipitation timing creating the narrow gap between the two leading outcomes; traders appear to weigh these variables heavily given the market's tight distribution. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$267Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration indicates Shanghai's September 8 high will likely peak near 29–30 °C under northerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and a chance of light rain or showers that could cap afternoon warming. Seasonal norms for early September place typical maxima around 30 °C, and current conditions show no strong subtropical ridge or heat advection to push readings higher. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with minor differences in cloud timing or precipitation timing creating the narrow gap between the two leading outcomes; traders appear to weigh these variables heavily given the market's tight distribution. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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