Recent forecasts from major meteorological models position 33°C as the leading outcome for Munich’s daily maximum on August 5, with 32–34°C collectively holding over 88% market-implied probability. Official guidance highlights a ridge of high pressure supporting daytime highs near 33°C under mostly sunny conditions, though light showers could limit further warming. Historical August climatology averages 23–25°C, making this potential anomaly notable but within recent summer variability. Traders weigh the proximity to resolution against typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C from sources like the German Weather Service and ECMWF runs. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine probabilities before the market settles.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Munich on August 5?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 5?
33°C 42%
34°C 26%
32°C 22%
35°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 5, 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
22%
33°C
42%
34°C
26%
35°C
9%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 42%
34°C 26%
32°C 22%
35°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 5, 2026
30°C or below
$138 Vol.
1%
31°C
$327 Vol.
5%
32°C
$376 Vol.
22%
33°C
$327 Vol.
42%
34°C
$304 Vol.
26%
35°C
$477 Vol.
9%
36°C
$207 Vol.
2%
37°C
$351 Vol.
2%
38°C
$112 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$136 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major meteorological models position 33°C as the leading outcome for Munich’s daily maximum on August 5, with 32–34°C collectively holding over 88% market-implied probability. Official guidance highlights a ridge of high pressure supporting daytime highs near 33°C under mostly sunny conditions, though light showers could limit further warming. Historical August climatology averages 23–25°C, making this potential anomaly notable but within recent summer variability. Traders weigh the proximity to resolution against typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C from sources like the German Weather Service and ECMWF runs. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine probabilities before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$3,108Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major meteorological models position 33°C as the leading outcome for Munich’s daily maximum on August 5, with 32–34°C collectively holding over 88% market-implied probability. Official guidance highlights a ridge of high pressure supporting daytime highs near 33°C under mostly sunny conditions, though light showers could limit further warming. Historical August climatology averages 23–25°C, making this potential anomaly notable but within recent summer variability. Traders weigh the proximity to resolution against typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C from sources like the German Weather Service and ECMWF runs. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine probabilities before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,108Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major meteorological models position 33°C as the leading outcome for Munich’s daily maximum on August 5, with 32–34°C collectively holding over 88% market-implied probability. Official guidance highlights a ridge of high pressure supporting daytime highs near 33°C under mostly sunny conditions, though light showers could limit further warming. Historical August climatology averages 23–25°C, making this potential anomaly notable but within recent summer variability. Traders weigh the proximity to resolution against typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C from sources like the German Weather Service and ECMWF runs. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine probabilities before the market settles.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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