**Cooler-than-average conditions driven by persistent northwest flow, extensive cloud cover, and light rain are positioning 12°C as the market leader for Moscow’s September 7 high temperature.** Multiple forecast models, including recent GFS and ECMWF runs, show daytime maxima clustered between 11–14°C under mostly cloudy skies with northwest winds of 4–6 m/s and scattered showers, limiting surface heating. This aligns with the implied probabilities favoring 12°C (41.5%), 13°C (23.5%), and 11°C (21.5%), reflecting tight model consensus around these values rather than the historical average high near 18°C. Updated guidance through September 6 has shown little shift, keeping probabilities stable ahead of final observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on September 7?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 7?
12°C 42%
13°C 28%
11°C 22%
14°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 7, 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
3%
10°C
5%
11°C
22%
12°C
42%
13°C
28%
14°C
8%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
1%
12°C 42%
13°C 28%
11°C 22%
14°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 7, 2026
6°C or below
$447 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$457 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$276 Vol.
1%
9°C
$126 Vol.
3%
10°C
$161 Vol.
5%
11°C
$356 Vol.
22%
12°C
$392 Vol.
42%
13°C
$212 Vol.
28%
14°C
$158 Vol.
8%
15°C
$101 Vol.
1%
16°C or higher
$238 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cooler-than-average conditions driven by persistent northwest flow, extensive cloud cover, and light rain are positioning 12°C as the market leader for Moscow’s September 7 high temperature.** Multiple forecast models, including recent GFS and ECMWF runs, show daytime maxima clustered between 11–14°C under mostly cloudy skies with northwest winds of 4–6 m/s and scattered showers, limiting surface heating. This aligns with the implied probabilities favoring 12°C (41.5%), 13°C (23.5%), and 11°C (21.5%), reflecting tight model consensus around these values rather than the historical average high near 18°C. Updated guidance through September 6 has shown little shift, keeping probabilities stable ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,926Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Cooler-than-average conditions driven by persistent northwest flow, extensive cloud cover, and light rain are positioning 12°C as the market leader for Moscow’s September 7 high temperature.** Multiple forecast models, including recent GFS and ECMWF runs, show daytime maxima clustered between 11–14°C under mostly cloudy skies with northwest winds of 4–6 m/s and scattered showers, limiting surface heating. This aligns with the implied probabilities favoring 12°C (41.5%), 13°C (23.5%), and 11°C (21.5%), reflecting tight model consensus around these values rather than the historical average high near 18°C. Updated guidance through September 6 has shown little shift, keeping probabilities stable ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,926Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Cooler-than-average conditions driven by persistent northwest flow, extensive cloud cover, and light rain are positioning 12°C as the market leader for Moscow’s September 7 high temperature.** Multiple forecast models, including recent GFS and ECMWF runs, show daytime maxima clustered between 11–14°C under mostly cloudy skies with northwest winds of 4–6 m/s and scattered showers, limiting surface heating. This aligns with the implied probabilities favoring 12°C (41.5%), 13°C (23.5%), and 11°C (21.5%), reflecting tight model consensus around these values rather than the historical average high near 18°C. Updated guidance through September 6 has shown little shift, keeping probabilities stable ahead of final observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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