Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF positions a daily high near 25–26°C for Mexico City on September 5, driven by partly cloudy skies, light winds, and scattered afternoon convection typical of the rainy season at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. These conditions moderate peak temperatures while allowing brief solar heating before cloud build-up and showers. Historical September maxima average around 25°C, providing context for the market-implied 49% probability on 26°C and 28.5% on 25°C, with the 20% chance for 27°C or higher reflecting residual uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity. Updated forecasts and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations will determine resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 5?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 5?
26°C 49%
25°C 29%
27°C or higher 20%
24°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Sep 5, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
29%
26°C
49%
27°C or higher
20%
26°C 49%
25°C 29%
27°C or higher 20%
24°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Sep 5, 2026
17°C or below
$299 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$433 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$335 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$168 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$711 Vol.
5%
25°C
$2,434 Vol.
29%
26°C
$1,303 Vol.
49%
27°C or higher
$1,695 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF positions a daily high near 25–26°C for Mexico City on September 5, driven by partly cloudy skies, light winds, and scattered afternoon convection typical of the rainy season at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. These conditions moderate peak temperatures while allowing brief solar heating before cloud build-up and showers. Historical September maxima average around 25°C, providing context for the market-implied 49% probability on 26°C and 28.5% on 25°C, with the 20% chance for 27°C or higher reflecting residual uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity. Updated forecasts and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$7,786Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 8:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF positions a daily high near 25–26°C for Mexico City on September 5, driven by partly cloudy skies, light winds, and scattered afternoon convection typical of the rainy season at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. These conditions moderate peak temperatures while allowing brief solar heating before cloud build-up and showers. Historical September maxima average around 25°C, providing context for the market-implied 49% probability on 26°C and 28.5% on 25°C, with the 20% chance for 27°C or higher reflecting residual uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity. Updated forecasts and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,786Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 8:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF positions a daily high near 25–26°C for Mexico City on September 5, driven by partly cloudy skies, light winds, and scattered afternoon convection typical of the rainy season at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. These conditions moderate peak temperatures while allowing brief solar heating before cloud build-up and showers. Historical September maxima average around 25°C, providing context for the market-implied 49% probability on 26°C and 28.5% on 25°C, with the 20% chance for 27°C or higher reflecting residual uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity. Updated forecasts and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations will determine resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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