Recent forecasts from the UK Met Office and ensemble models show a high-pressure ridge building over southern England, with light westerly flow and largely dry conditions expected to limit cloud cover and support afternoon temperatures near 22–23°C on September 1. This consensus underpins the closely matched 36% and 34.5% market-implied probabilities for those outcomes, reflecting typical early-September climatology around 20–22°C but with modest warming from residual late-summer warmth and clear spells. Key variables differentiating the bins include exact timing of any residual showers, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat effects in central London; model spread remains modest at this short range, with official updates likely to refine the peak reading before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on September 1?
Highest temperature in London on September 1?
22°C 36%
23°C 35%
21°C 14%
24°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
19°C or below
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
14%
22°C
36%
23°C
35%
24°C
12%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
22°C 36%
23°C 35%
21°C 14%
24°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
19°C or below
$18 Vol.
2%
20°C
$0 Vol.
4%
21°C
$88 Vol.
14%
22°C
$563 Vol.
36%
23°C
$4,881 Vol.
35%
24°C
$156 Vol.
12%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$65 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$11 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the UK Met Office and ensemble models show a high-pressure ridge building over southern England, with light westerly flow and largely dry conditions expected to limit cloud cover and support afternoon temperatures near 22–23°C on September 1. This consensus underpins the closely matched 36% and 34.5% market-implied probabilities for those outcomes, reflecting typical early-September climatology around 20–22°C but with modest warming from residual late-summer warmth and clear spells. Key variables differentiating the bins include exact timing of any residual showers, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat effects in central London; model spread remains modest at this short range, with official updates likely to refine the peak reading before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$5,782Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the UK Met Office and ensemble models show a high-pressure ridge building over southern England, with light westerly flow and largely dry conditions expected to limit cloud cover and support afternoon temperatures near 22–23°C on September 1. This consensus underpins the closely matched 36% and 34.5% market-implied probabilities for those outcomes, reflecting typical early-September climatology around 20–22°C but with modest warming from residual late-summer warmth and clear spells. Key variables differentiating the bins include exact timing of any residual showers, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat effects in central London; model spread remains modest at this short range, with official updates likely to refine the peak reading before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,782Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the UK Met Office and ensemble models show a high-pressure ridge building over southern England, with light westerly flow and largely dry conditions expected to limit cloud cover and support afternoon temperatures near 22–23°C on September 1. This consensus underpins the closely matched 36% and 34.5% market-implied probabilities for those outcomes, reflecting typical early-September climatology around 20–22°C but with modest warming from residual late-summer warmth and clear spells. Key variables differentiating the bins include exact timing of any residual showers, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat effects in central London; model spread remains modest at this short range, with official updates likely to refine the peak reading before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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