Recent forecasts from meteorological sources indicate sunny conditions and light northeast winds over Istanbul on September 5, 2026, supporting a daytime maximum near 29–30 °C according to multiple model runs, consistent with typical early-September patterns of clear skies and moderate warming under high pressure. Trader consensus heavily favors 27 °C (76 % implied probability), suggesting markets are weighting either a slightly cooler urban measurement site, recent model adjustments, or conservative interpretation of observed afternoon peaks around 28–29 °C. With negligible precipitation risk and stable atmospheric conditions, the narrow spread between 27 °C and 28 °C reflects limited uncertainty in the final hourly maximum before evening cooling.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 5?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 5?
27°C 76%
28°C 20%
26°C 8%
29°C 1.9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 5, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
8%
27°C
76%
28°C
20%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 76%
28°C 20%
26°C 8%
29°C 1.9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 5, 2026
22°C or below
$862 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$515 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$305 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$301 Vol.
1%
26°C
$2,463 Vol.
8%
27°C
$2,313 Vol.
76%
28°C
$671 Vol.
20%
29°C
$574 Vol.
2%
30°C
$411 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$455 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$411 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological sources indicate sunny conditions and light northeast winds over Istanbul on September 5, 2026, supporting a daytime maximum near 29–30 °C according to multiple model runs, consistent with typical early-September patterns of clear skies and moderate warming under high pressure. Trader consensus heavily favors 27 °C (76 % implied probability), suggesting markets are weighting either a slightly cooler urban measurement site, recent model adjustments, or conservative interpretation of observed afternoon peaks around 28–29 °C. With negligible precipitation risk and stable atmospheric conditions, the narrow spread between 27 °C and 28 °C reflects limited uncertainty in the final hourly maximum before evening cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$9,280Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological sources indicate sunny conditions and light northeast winds over Istanbul on September 5, 2026, supporting a daytime maximum near 29–30 °C according to multiple model runs, consistent with typical early-September patterns of clear skies and moderate warming under high pressure. Trader consensus heavily favors 27 °C (76 % implied probability), suggesting markets are weighting either a slightly cooler urban measurement site, recent model adjustments, or conservative interpretation of observed afternoon peaks around 28–29 °C. With negligible precipitation risk and stable atmospheric conditions, the narrow spread between 27 °C and 28 °C reflects limited uncertainty in the final hourly maximum before evening cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,280Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological sources indicate sunny conditions and light northeast winds over Istanbul on September 5, 2026, supporting a daytime maximum near 29–30 °C according to multiple model runs, consistent with typical early-September patterns of clear skies and moderate warming under high pressure. Trader consensus heavily favors 27 °C (76 % implied probability), suggesting markets are weighting either a slightly cooler urban measurement site, recent model adjustments, or conservative interpretation of observed afternoon peaks around 28–29 °C. With negligible precipitation risk and stable atmospheric conditions, the narrow spread between 27 °C and 28 °C reflects limited uncertainty in the final hourly maximum before evening cooling.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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